new_results_tis
Laura Menicacci
2024-03-22
Models comparison
- Technology classes: climate change mitigation technologies, energy, solar, wind
- Y: Levels, Logs+1, IHS, Max normalization by technology
- Controls: gdp, pop
- Auto-regressive term = 1
- IIS=ON
- TREND BREAK (TIS) =ON
- p-val = 0.01, 0.05
- Sample: top 25 patenting countries (by mean)
- Time series: 2000-2019
Ccmt
Count Ccmt
0.01
Formula: count_ccmt~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:03:57 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.5178e-01 1.8437e-02 46.2000 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 5.9564e-13 2.0630e-13 2.8873 0.0040966 **
pop 3.7926e-06 6.3107e-07 6.0098 4.184e-09 ***
idAUT 6.3567e+01 2.3551e+01 2.6991 0.0072481 **
idBEL 3.3447e+01 2.2792e+01 1.4675 0.1430286
idBRA -6.8295e+02 1.1305e+02 -6.0411 3.504e-09 ***
idCAN 1.0216e+01 2.2944e+01 0.4453 0.6563786
idCHE 5.8449e+01 2.3603e+01 2.4763 0.0136880 *
idCHN -4.7054e+03 8.1642e+02 -5.7635 1.648e-08 ***
idDEU 7.7237e+01 5.2487e+01 1.4715 0.1419291
idDNK 8.3367e+01 2.4406e+01 3.4159 0.0007009 ***
idESP -8.5973e+01 2.6298e+01 -3.2692 0.0011717 **
idFIN 5.7614e+01 2.4059e+01 2.3947 0.0170911 *
idFRA 1.9684e+00 3.2876e+01 0.0599 0.9522866
idGBR -4.9215e+01 3.1861e+01 -1.5447 0.1232187
idIND -4.0561e+03 6.7481e+02 -6.0107 4.162e-09 ***
idISR 4.8577e+01 2.3502e+01 2.0669 0.0393869 *
idITA -1.0222e+02 3.1066e+01 -3.2902 0.0010898 **
idJPN 2.3848e+02 1.1874e+02 2.0084 0.0452728 *
idKOR -4.5154e+02 2.3214e+02 -1.9452 0.0524564 .
idNLD 4.5001e+01 2.2344e+01 2.0140 0.0446802 *
idNOR 4.4727e+01 2.4013e+01 1.8626 0.0632549 .
idRUS -5.2543e+02 8.3189e+01 -6.3161 7.146e-10 ***
idSGP 4.3813e+01 2.3976e+01 1.8273 0.0683937 .
idSWE 5.8456e+01 2.3335e+01 2.5051 0.0126377 *
idTWN 8.1209e+01 2.2869e+01 3.5511 0.0004294 ***
idUSA -3.4730e+02 1.5921e+02 -2.1814 0.0297367 *
time2001 -7.0247e+01 2.3330e+01 -3.0111 0.0027685 **
time2002 -8.6283e+01 2.3398e+01 -3.6876 0.0002576 ***
time2003 -7.4772e+01 2.3584e+01 -3.1705 0.0016390 **
time2004 -4.1569e+01 2.3619e+01 -1.7599 0.0791821 .
time2005 -4.7067e+01 2.3669e+01 -1.9886 0.0474294 *
time2006 -4.3223e+01 2.3850e+01 -1.8123 0.0706910 .
time2007 -2.7008e+01 2.3992e+01 -1.1257 0.2609570
time2008 -2.4320e+01 2.4165e+01 -1.0064 0.3148360
time2009 -1.5003e+01 2.4332e+01 -0.6166 0.5378371
time2010 3.3578e+00 2.4355e+01 0.1379 0.8904108
time2011 -3.9549e+01 2.4462e+01 -1.6167 0.1067234
time2012 -3.8967e+01 2.4744e+01 -1.5748 0.1160825
time2013 -9.1990e+01 2.4780e+01 -3.7123 0.0002345 ***
time2014 -6.5982e+01 2.5001e+01 -2.6391 0.0086370 **
time2015 -8.0677e+01 2.4910e+01 -3.2387 0.0013008 **
time2016 -4.1677e+01 2.4715e+01 -1.6863 0.0925157 .
time2017 -3.0278e+01 2.4853e+01 -1.2183 0.2238417
time2018 -4.5795e+01 2.4924e+01 -1.8374 0.0668965 .
time2019 -1.0213e+02 2.5070e+01 -4.0738 5.578e-05 ***
iis130 3.9116e+02 8.1765e+01 4.7839 2.422e-06 ***
iis132 -3.3944e+02 1.1272e+02 -3.0115 0.0027646 **
iis133 -6.5033e+02 1.3328e+02 -4.8796 1.538e-06 ***
iis307 2.2622e+02 7.4788e+01 3.0248 0.0026486 **
iis313 9.0890e+02 8.8793e+01 10.2361 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 2.1137e+03 8.2633e+01 25.5792 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 1.3199e+03 7.8039e+01 16.9131 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis323 -1.6097e+03 8.3306e+01 -19.3224 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 2.2508e+02 8.5686e+01 2.6268 0.0089514 **
iis338 -5.2361e+02 7.3797e+01 -7.0954 5.906e-12 ***
iis340 -4.6338e+02 7.6689e+01 -6.0423 3.480e-09 ***
iis463 3.4302e+02 7.5673e+01 4.5329 7.696e-06 ***
iis468 3.4626e+02 8.0061e+01 4.3250 1.929e-05 ***
iis470 -6.3749e+02 9.0957e+01 -7.0087 1.028e-11 ***
iis473 -5.5351e+02 8.6675e+01 -6.3861 4.729e-10 ***
iis474 -6.4335e+02 9.3561e+01 -6.8763 2.373e-11 ***
iis475 -1.0418e+03 1.0398e+02 -10.0191 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 2.7963e+02 6.0801e+01 4.5991 5.703e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -5.0220e+02 7.1209e+01 -7.0525 7.772e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -5.2145e+02 7.6765e+01 -6.7928 3.998e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2009 5.0237e+02 7.2493e+01 6.9299 1.694e-11 ***
fesisUSA.2005 2.7017e+02 6.4845e+01 4.1664 3.794e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -7.3629e+02 9.1498e+01 -8.0470 9.760e-15 ***
tisCHN.2015 2.4409e+02 2.8965e+01 8.4273 6.452e-16 ***
tisDEU.2004 2.8676e+01 8.8472e+00 3.2413 0.0012896 **
tisIND.2002 -6.4461e+01 1.0873e+01 -5.9285 6.610e-09 ***
tisJPN.2008 8.1329e+01 8.4362e+00 9.6405 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2009 -4.6799e+01 1.2168e+01 -3.8460 0.0001397 ***
tisUSA.2005 7.2175e+01 1.3915e+01 5.1868 3.407e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.32731 1 0.5672
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 22.09865 1 2.59e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 67.2127
R-squared 0.9990
Log-lik.(n=475) -2635.2303 0.05
Formula: count_ccmt~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:04:53 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.8317e-01 1.7448e-02 50.6167 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 2.3485e-12 3.4167e-13 6.8736 2.543e-11 ***
pop 3.7623e-06 5.7470e-07 6.5467 1.888e-10 ***
idAUT 6.4478e+01 1.7015e+01 3.7894 0.0001752 ***
idBEL 3.7382e+01 1.6192e+01 2.3086 0.0214942 *
idBRA -6.7655e+02 1.0188e+02 -6.6408 1.068e-10 ***
idCAN 1.1399e+00 1.6548e+01 0.0689 0.9451162
idCHE 5.9617e+01 1.7091e+01 3.4883 0.0005425 ***
idCHN -4.7287e+03 7.3803e+02 -6.4073 4.341e-10 ***
idDEU -8.6337e+00 4.5706e+01 -0.1889 0.8502752
idDNK 8.0305e+01 1.7990e+01 4.4638 1.060e-05 ***
idESP -8.3954e+01 2.0113e+01 -4.1741 3.704e-05 ***
idFIN 6.1333e+01 1.7641e+01 3.4766 0.0005658 ***
idFRA -2.3405e+01 2.8101e+01 -0.8329 0.4054288
idGBR -6.5661e+01 2.6648e+01 -2.4640 0.0141784 *
idIND -4.0878e+03 6.1258e+02 -6.6731 8.772e-11 ***
idISR 5.0691e+01 1.7012e+01 2.9797 0.0030691 **
idITA -1.0698e+02 2.5318e+01 -4.2253 2.984e-05 ***
idJPN -9.4358e+02 1.7591e+02 -5.3639 1.410e-07 ***
idKOR -2.2416e+03 3.5277e+02 -6.3542 5.939e-10 ***
idNLD 4.2720e+01 1.5621e+01 2.7348 0.0065319 **
idNOR 4.5979e+01 1.7704e+01 2.5971 0.0097641 **
idRUS -6.4969e+02 7.4835e+01 -8.6816 < 2.2e-16 ***
idSGP 4.9963e+01 1.7618e+01 2.8358 0.0048124 **
idSWE 5.2832e+01 1.6832e+01 3.1389 0.0018271 **
idTWN 7.0328e+01 1.6381e+01 4.2932 2.233e-05 ***
idUSA -3.8096e+02 1.4778e+02 -2.5778 0.0103153 *
time2001 -5.9711e+01 1.7547e+01 -3.4029 0.0007370 ***
time2002 -8.2067e+01 1.7578e+01 -4.6688 4.194e-06 ***
time2003 -6.7820e+01 1.7835e+01 -3.8026 0.0001665 ***
time2004 -6.1899e+01 1.7935e+01 -3.4514 0.0006198 ***
time2005 -6.1452e+01 1.8125e+01 -3.3905 0.0007699 ***
time2006 -3.8126e+01 1.8156e+01 -2.0999 0.0363912 *
time2007 -3.5726e+01 1.8589e+01 -1.9219 0.0553583 .
time2008 -3.6696e+01 1.8645e+01 -1.9682 0.0497674 *
time2009 -3.1419e+01 1.8842e+01 -1.6675 0.0962364 .
time2010 -1.5408e+01 1.9031e+01 -0.8096 0.4186636
time2011 -3.3454e+01 1.9245e+01 -1.7384 0.0829504 .
time2012 -5.3581e+01 1.9137e+01 -2.7999 0.0053706 **
time2013 -9.7527e+01 1.8992e+01 -5.1352 4.490e-07 ***
time2014 -7.4523e+01 1.8774e+01 -3.9696 8.595e-05 ***
time2015 -8.6704e+01 1.9021e+01 -4.5584 6.938e-06 ***
time2016 -7.4944e+01 1.9091e+01 -3.9257 0.0001025 ***
time2017 -5.5872e+01 1.9196e+01 -2.9106 0.0038177 **
time2018 -6.6194e+01 1.9195e+01 -3.4485 0.0006261 ***
time2019 -9.3041e+01 1.9364e+01 -4.8050 2.224e-06 ***
iis129 2.9380e+02 7.1474e+01 4.1106 4.829e-05 ***
iis130 1.0402e+03 8.3547e+01 12.4500 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis131 9.1415e+02 9.6671e+01 9.4563 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis132 8.1711e+02 1.1152e+02 7.3271 1.399e-12 ***
iis133 7.4794e+02 1.2714e+02 5.8829 8.779e-09 ***
iis146 -1.6297e+02 5.9852e+01 -2.7228 0.0067674 **
iis307 3.9505e+02 5.4915e+01 7.1939 3.325e-12 ***
iis308 2.9821e+02 5.4527e+01 5.4690 8.170e-08 ***
iis309 2.2792e+02 5.5129e+01 4.1343 4.375e-05 ***
iis311 3.0638e+02 5.6581e+01 5.4149 1.083e-07 ***
iis313 7.4577e+02 7.1501e+01 10.4302 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 1.9776e+03 6.4437e+01 30.6903 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 1.1804e+03 5.3366e+01 22.1194 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis323 -1.5516e+03 5.4881e+01 -28.2713 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 2.9496e+02 7.0202e+01 4.2016 3.299e-05 ***
iis338 -7.0329e+02 5.6472e+01 -12.4539 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis340 -2.4308e+02 6.1504e+01 -3.9523 9.213e-05 ***
iis459 -3.2975e+02 5.4808e+01 -6.0165 4.160e-09 ***
iis463 3.3009e+02 5.2180e+01 6.3261 7.005e-10 ***
iis468 7.9340e+02 8.8058e+01 9.0100 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis469 7.5671e+02 1.2517e+02 6.0453 3.535e-09 ***
iis470 -7.1006e+02 8.7853e+01 -8.0824 8.354e-15 ***
iis473 -5.2835e+02 9.4221e+01 -5.6076 3.928e-08 ***
iis474 -5.9356e+02 1.3418e+02 -4.4238 1.265e-05 ***
iis475 -9.9256e+02 1.7754e+02 -5.5908 4.296e-08 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.2033e+02 8.2912e+01 -2.6573 0.0082048 **
fesisDEU.2019 -8.2381e+02 6.6325e+01 -12.4208 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -3.5498e+02 5.7614e+01 -6.1614 1.822e-09 ***
fesisJPN.2009 3.1777e+02 6.7037e+01 4.7402 3.013e-06 ***
fesisJPN.2016 3.7967e+02 3.8501e+01 9.8614 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 2.4751e+02 1.1472e+02 2.1576 0.0315780 *
fesisKOR.2011 -4.1421e+02 6.5332e+01 -6.3402 6.449e-10 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -5.6645e+02 7.5895e+01 -7.4636 5.692e-13 ***
fesisUSA.2005 1.9847e+02 5.3328e+01 3.7216 0.0002276 ***
tisCHN.2012 -5.4437e+01 1.9176e+01 -2.8388 0.0047695 **
tisDEU.2004 9.4176e+01 7.9973e+00 11.7760 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2010 -1.9328e+02 2.9903e+01 -6.4635 3.107e-10 ***
tisDEU.2014 2.0516e+02 3.2237e+01 6.3639 5.607e-10 ***
tisIND.2002 -7.3722e+01 9.7088e+00 -7.5933 2.395e-13 ***
tisKOR.2005 -2.1928e+02 3.3312e+01 -6.5827 1.519e-10 ***
tisKOR.2008 3.1937e+02 7.4101e+01 4.3099 2.078e-05 ***
tisKOR.2010 -1.4566e+02 6.2596e+01 -2.3270 0.0204827 *
tisUSA.2005 5.7713e+01 1.4811e+01 3.8967 0.0001150 ***
tisUSA.2011 -2.3561e+02 4.9386e+01 -4.7708 2.611e-06 ***
tisUSA.2014 2.3233e+02 8.8914e+01 2.6130 0.0093274 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.3588 1 0.03682 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 32.5225 1 1.178e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 46.24284
R-squared 0.99955
Log-lik.(n=475) -2449.60143 Log Count Ccmt
0.01
Formula: log_count_ccmt~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:04:25 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.6731989 0.0240900 27.9451 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.3806455 0.0691480 5.5048 6.546e-08 ***
lpop -0.5022617 0.1904746 -2.6369 0.0086864 **
idAUT 0.0037666 0.1622407 0.0232 0.9814890
idBEL -0.1190657 0.1230942 -0.9673 0.3339806
idBRA 0.2175135 0.4077077 0.5335 0.5939757
idCAN 0.2980697 0.1074324 2.7745 0.0057829 **
idCHE -0.3132007 0.1733703 -1.8065 0.0715704 .
idCHN 1.2472614 0.7256272 1.7189 0.0863959 .
idDEU 1.1504973 0.2626579 4.3802 1.509e-05 ***
idDNK -1.0486038 0.2703462 -3.8787 0.0001224 ***
idESP 0.0615389 0.1673905 0.3676 0.7133348
idFIN -0.1961573 0.2332222 -0.8411 0.4007988
idFRA 0.8028583 0.2211412 3.6305 0.0003188 ***
idGBR 0.7433334 0.2186433 3.3998 0.0007409 ***
idIND 0.4718153 0.7024980 0.6716 0.5022025
idISR -0.6342859 0.1863287 -3.4041 0.0007295 ***
idITA 0.5173854 0.2056930 2.5153 0.0122754 *
idJPN -0.3489860 0.3703779 -0.9422 0.3466258
idKOR -1.4703847 0.3994439 -3.6811 0.0002634 ***
idNLD 0.1724134 0.0762145 2.2622 0.0242095 *
idNOR -1.4687989 0.3118080 -4.7106 3.392e-06 ***
idRUS -0.9610722 0.3585244 -2.6806 0.0076461 **
idSGP -1.0364423 0.2758973 -3.7566 0.0001973 ***
idSWE -0.8684145 0.1963548 -4.4227 1.252e-05 ***
idTWN 0.4248141 0.0760500 5.5860 4.252e-08 ***
idUSA 1.3728303 0.4713430 2.9126 0.0037813 **
time2001 -0.4252125 2.8646709 -0.1484 0.8820742
time2002 -0.4551537 2.8652083 -0.1589 0.8738614
time2003 -0.3815373 2.8666458 -0.1331 0.8941836
time2004 -0.3679132 2.8662229 -0.1284 0.8979260
time2005 -0.3410920 2.8655538 -0.1190 0.9053088
time2006 -0.2796275 2.8669982 -0.0975 0.9223509
time2007 -0.2515474 2.8685010 -0.0877 0.9301637
time2008 -0.2306643 2.8694611 -0.0804 0.9359697
time2009 -0.1489511 2.8700433 -0.0519 0.9586349
time2010 -0.1368247 2.8711767 -0.0477 0.9620149
time2011 -0.1465698 2.8720934 -0.0510 0.9593247
time2012 -0.2018514 2.8731577 -0.0703 0.9440258
time2013 -0.2844938 2.8745229 -0.0990 0.9212101
time2014 -0.2518303 2.8762461 -0.0876 0.9302732
time2015 -0.2741769 2.8779689 -0.0953 0.9241491
time2016 -0.2249747 2.8792750 -0.0781 0.9377583
time2017 -0.2384443 2.8803990 -0.0828 0.9340657
time2018 -0.2318291 2.8815111 -0.0805 0.9359156
time2019 -0.3274298 2.8825094 -0.1136 0.9096172
iis59 -0.3971607 0.1030435 -3.8543 0.0001348 ***
iis63 0.6698595 0.1026304 6.5269 1.996e-10 ***
iis66 -0.3806953 0.1025993 -3.7105 0.0002355 ***
iis248 -0.4339955 0.1044962 -4.1532 3.995e-05 ***
iis269 -0.3725554 0.1040524 -3.5805 0.0003843 ***
iis270 0.3516406 0.1037176 3.3904 0.0007660 ***
iis273 0.3610047 0.1028986 3.5084 0.0005011 ***
iis385 0.3768156 0.1028161 3.6649 0.0002800 ***
iis395 -0.3823963 0.1026659 -3.7247 0.0002231 ***
iis402 0.2914043 0.1071240 2.7203 0.0068021 **
iis407 0.4468430 0.1030393 4.3366 1.825e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.2208465 0.0595617 -3.7079 0.0002379 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.2480379 0.0627515 3.9527 9.107e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2005 0.4188202 0.1115065 3.7560 0.0001978 ***
fesisDNK.2006 -0.4771838 0.1411020 -3.3818 0.0007895 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.8728536 0.1723947 5.0631 6.256e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.3302574 0.0791592 4.1721 3.691e-05 ***
tisDNK.2007 -0.2072112 0.0557598 -3.7161 0.0002305 ***
tisDNK.2010 0.2137858 0.0609049 3.5102 0.0004978 ***
tisESP.2003 0.1395220 0.0283903 4.9144 1.292e-06 ***
tisESP.2006 -0.1559717 0.0318191 -4.9018 1.373e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 6.2035 1 0.0127501 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 12.4281 1 0.0004229 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.09743
R-squared 0.99588
Log-lik.(n=475) 465.60979 0.05
Formula: log_count_ccmt~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:05:01 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.6661123 0.0241879 27.5390 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.4046152 0.0697007 5.8050 1.335e-08 ***
lpop -0.2385132 0.2186075 -1.0911 0.2759215
idAUT 0.2525687 0.1745259 1.4472 0.1486525
idBEL 0.0540227 0.1287510 0.4196 0.6750157
idBRA -0.4357783 0.4627459 -0.9417 0.3469176
idCAN 0.2955326 0.1198074 2.4667 0.0140643 *
idCHE -0.0480497 0.1931366 -0.2488 0.8036572
idCHN 0.0533285 0.8295502 0.0643 0.9487754
idDEU 0.7652309 0.3016476 2.5368 0.0115748 *
idDNK -0.6692775 0.3069127 -2.1807 0.0298043 *
idESP -0.0094031 0.1844562 -0.0510 0.9593694
idFIN 0.4119931 0.2640804 1.5601 0.1195461
idFRA 0.4790854 0.2525082 1.8973 0.0585259 .
idGBR 0.4297818 0.2491797 1.7248 0.0853582 .
idIND -0.7428963 0.7973890 -0.9317 0.3520881
idISR -0.3598929 0.2394817 -1.5028 0.1337001
idITA 0.2161276 0.2333555 0.9262 0.3549288
idJPN -0.9695560 0.3825257 -2.5346 0.0116473 *
idKOR -1.8736513 0.3895934 -4.8092 2.168e-06 ***
idNLD 0.2268806 0.0705577 3.2155 0.0014106 **
idNOR -1.0740212 0.3591439 -2.9905 0.0029619 **
idRUS -1.5524467 0.3906348 -3.9742 8.415e-05 ***
idSGP -0.5875534 0.3099599 -1.8956 0.0587549 .
idSWE -0.7084321 0.2178606 -3.2518 0.0012467 **
idTWN 0.3766192 0.0747689 5.0371 7.241e-07 ***
idUSA 0.6010406 0.5416527 1.1096 0.2678370
time2001 -5.4962797 3.1735257 -1.7319 0.0840792 .
time2002 -5.5277777 3.1746042 -1.7412 0.0824284 .
time2003 -5.4331820 3.1749458 -1.7113 0.0878268 .
time2004 -5.4167927 3.1750762 -1.7060 0.0887976 .
time2005 -5.3690558 3.1740400 -1.6916 0.0915301 .
time2006 -5.3396740 3.1753200 -1.6816 0.0934435 .
time2007 -5.2808234 3.1768454 -1.6623 0.0972591 .
time2008 -5.2921668 3.1790299 -1.6647 0.0967735 .
time2009 -5.1972053 3.1803589 -1.6342 0.1030328
time2010 -5.1737600 3.1810744 -1.6264 0.1046682
time2011 -5.1892834 3.1821454 -1.6307 0.1037504
time2012 -5.2505038 3.1834187 -1.6493 0.0998855 .
time2013 -5.3214188 3.1848043 -1.6709 0.0955480 .
time2014 -5.2959576 3.1862872 -1.6621 0.0972944 .
time2015 -5.3249329 3.1878637 -1.6704 0.0956472 .
time2016 -5.2822093 3.1891871 -1.6563 0.0984680 .
time2017 -5.3116514 3.1901780 -1.6650 0.0967155 .
time2018 -5.2888561 3.1912291 -1.6573 0.0982610 .
time2019 -5.3903450 3.1922243 -1.6886 0.0920982 .
iis59 -0.3529768 0.0902652 -3.9104 0.0001086 ***
iis63 0.6911269 0.0892302 7.7454 8.307e-14 ***
iis66 -0.3764833 0.0892610 -4.2178 3.071e-05 ***
iis98 -0.2560857 0.0895435 -2.8599 0.0044655 **
iis156 -0.2034765 0.1000630 -2.0335 0.0426801 *
iis158 -0.8469315 0.1498639 -5.6513 3.077e-08 ***
iis173 -0.2909765 0.1117558 -2.6037 0.0095749 **
iis248 -0.3613167 0.0921375 -3.9215 0.0001040 ***
iis249 0.2093401 0.0925196 2.2627 0.0242062 *
iis270 0.6090473 0.1064592 5.7209 2.113e-08 ***
iis395 -0.3734717 0.0903530 -4.1335 4.377e-05 ***
iis402 0.3869202 0.0966295 4.0042 7.452e-05 ***
iis403 0.2726688 0.0951871 2.8646 0.0044018 **
iis407 0.5093304 0.0902316 5.6447 3.189e-08 ***
iis408 0.2413157 0.0904701 2.6674 0.0079636 **
iis439 0.1951738 0.0917006 2.1284 0.0339319 *
fesisAUS.2005 -0.2757203 0.0537279 -5.1318 4.536e-07 ***
fesisCAN.2004 -0.1812957 0.0559615 -3.2396 0.0012994 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.2394710 0.0557218 4.2976 2.183e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2005 0.5352430 0.1118186 4.7867 2.411e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2006 0.6070632 0.1893669 3.2058 0.0014581 **
fesisISR.2003 -0.4606224 0.0953251 -4.8321 1.945e-06 ***
fesisISR.2006 0.2170787 0.0984328 2.2053 0.0280124 *
fesisISR.2009 -0.6413542 0.0952302 -6.7348 5.900e-11 ***
fesisISR.2013 -0.4558886 0.1054109 -4.3249 1.941e-05 ***
fesisISR.2018 -0.5574983 0.0995931 -5.5978 4.100e-08 ***
fesisNOR.2010 -0.1946146 0.0448494 -4.3393 1.823e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2017 0.2451631 0.0598133 4.0988 5.055e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2005 0.2357133 0.0769470 3.0633 0.0023409 **
fesisRUS.2007 -0.5225216 0.1060440 -4.9274 1.234e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2008 0.2308718 0.0915458 2.5219 0.0120688 *
fesisSGP.2003 0.2142150 0.0731510 2.9284 0.0036071 **
tisDNK.2005 -0.2031989 0.0486234 -4.1790 3.616e-05 ***
tisDNK.2010 0.2098750 0.0531136 3.9514 9.221e-05 ***
tisESP.2003 0.0804324 0.0301913 2.6641 0.0080399 **
tisESP.2006 -0.0949294 0.0329128 -2.8843 0.0041408 **
tisFIN.2002 -0.0889952 0.0287906 -3.0911 0.0021372 **
tisFIN.2005 0.0899593 0.0313033 2.8738 0.0042777 **
tisISR.2003 0.1002155 0.0197302 5.0793 5.884e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 8.6373 1 0.003293 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.8541 1 0.091139 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.08462
R-squared 0.99703
Log-lik.(n=475) 541.55120 Ihs Count Ccmt
0.01
Formula: ihs_count_ccmt~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:05:17 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.6707282 0.0240351 27.9061 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.3849629 0.0694972 5.5393 5.454e-08 ***
lpop -0.5055142 0.1915484 -2.6391 0.0086312 **
idAUT 0.0062193 0.1635179 0.0380 0.9696789
idBEL -0.1188920 0.1240238 -0.9586 0.3383168
idBRA 0.2133209 0.4105934 0.5195 0.6036638
idCAN 0.3002757 0.1080348 2.7794 0.0056972 **
idCHE -0.3141255 0.1745433 -1.7997 0.0726468 .
idCHN 1.2493944 0.7305091 1.7103 0.0879694 .
idDEU 1.1585749 0.2638387 4.3912 1.438e-05 ***
idDNK -1.0576614 0.2717119 -3.8926 0.0001158 ***
idESP 0.0585305 0.1684698 0.3474 0.7284517
idFIN -0.1949831 0.2349653 -0.8298 0.4071158
idFRA 0.8085139 0.2222581 3.6377 0.0003103 ***
idGBR 0.7487732 0.2197617 3.4072 0.0007215 ***
idIND 0.4669308 0.7076655 0.6598 0.5097426
idISR -0.6388820 0.1873843 -3.4095 0.0007157 ***
idITA 0.5208035 0.2068644 2.5176 0.0121975 *
idJPN -0.3598139 0.3735356 -0.9633 0.3359850
idKOR -1.4914680 0.4023134 -3.7072 0.0002385 ***
idNLD 0.1751628 0.0767691 2.2817 0.0230224 *
idNOR -1.4831904 0.3132013 -4.7356 3.019e-06 ***
idRUS -0.9772850 0.3616822 -2.7021 0.0071787 **
idSGP -1.0678408 0.2777170 -3.8451 0.0001398 ***
idSWE -0.8761254 0.1972437 -4.4418 1.150e-05 ***
idTWN 0.4288138 0.0764005 5.6127 3.685e-08 ***
idUSA 1.3793011 0.4741165 2.9092 0.0038217 **
time2001 -0.2517840 2.8849459 -0.0873 0.9304957
time2002 -0.2821252 2.8854802 -0.0978 0.9221597
time2003 -0.2074941 2.8869346 -0.0719 0.9427378
time2004 -0.1940278 2.8865054 -0.0672 0.9464403
time2005 -0.1668966 2.8858259 -0.0578 0.9539098
time2006 -0.1050288 2.8872793 -0.0364 0.9710000
time2007 -0.0764580 2.8887922 -0.0265 0.9788977
time2008 -0.0552439 2.8897589 -0.0191 0.9847570
time2009 0.0271650 2.8903481 0.0094 0.9925058
time2010 0.0394137 2.8914901 0.0136 0.9891311
time2011 0.0299123 2.8924147 0.0103 0.9917538
time2012 -0.0255712 2.8934877 -0.0088 0.9929531
time2013 -0.1085313 2.8948642 -0.0375 0.9701119
time2014 -0.0760179 2.8966010 -0.0262 0.9790757
time2015 -0.0985347 2.8983370 -0.0340 0.9728962
time2016 -0.0491805 2.8996535 -0.0170 0.9864762
time2017 -0.0627521 2.9007860 -0.0216 0.9827514
time2018 -0.0560393 2.9019071 -0.0193 0.9846023
time2019 -0.1521371 2.9029131 -0.0524 0.9582289
iis59 -0.4261592 0.1038091 -4.1052 4.881e-05 ***
iis63 0.6818732 0.1033424 6.5982 1.295e-10 ***
iis66 -0.3863694 0.1033174 -3.7396 0.0002106 ***
iis248 -0.4432755 0.1052229 -4.2127 3.108e-05 ***
iis269 -0.3791661 0.1047756 -3.6188 0.0003331 ***
iis270 0.3553192 0.1044348 3.4023 0.0007342 ***
iis273 0.3634532 0.1036122 3.5078 0.0005020 ***
iis385 0.3812172 0.1035298 3.6822 0.0002623 ***
iis395 -0.3856445 0.1033759 -3.7305 0.0002182 ***
iis402 0.3057819 0.1079754 2.8320 0.0048555 **
iis407 0.4536146 0.1037566 4.3719 1.565e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.2230060 0.0599963 -3.7170 0.0002297 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.2489032 0.0631637 3.9406 9.561e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2005 0.4223645 0.1122799 3.7617 0.0001935 ***
fesisDNK.2006 -0.4798828 0.1420800 -3.3776 0.0008016 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.8761387 0.1735876 5.0472 6.765e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.3559116 0.0797362 4.4636 1.044e-05 ***
tisDNK.2007 -0.2074791 0.0561421 -3.6956 0.0002493 ***
tisDNK.2010 0.2140446 0.0613223 3.4905 0.0005347 ***
tisESP.2003 0.1415779 0.0285835 4.9531 1.071e-06 ***
tisESP.2006 -0.1581208 0.0320363 -4.9357 1.166e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 6.0912 1 0.0135856 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 12.5333 1 0.0003998 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.09810
R-squared 0.99586
Log-lik.(n=475) 462.32960 0.05
Formula: ihs_count_ccmt~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:05:10 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.664284 0.024061 27.6085 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.407710 0.069863 5.8358 1.127e-08 ***
lpop -0.234966 0.219448 -1.0707 0.284959
idAUT 0.259309 0.175702 1.4758 0.140792
idBEL 0.057275 0.129590 0.4420 0.658754
idBRA -0.453312 0.465268 -0.9743 0.330511
idCAN 0.295284 0.120283 2.4549 0.014528 *
idCHE -0.043273 0.194145 -0.2229 0.823735
idCHN 0.030430 0.833827 0.0365 0.970907
idDEU 0.763145 0.302469 2.5231 0.012031 *
idDNK -0.668366 0.307880 -2.1709 0.030544 *
idESP -0.014983 0.185365 -0.0808 0.935618
idFIN 0.421677 0.265727 1.5869 0.113350
idFRA 0.476522 0.253337 1.8810 0.060719 .
idGBR 0.427199 0.250009 1.7087 0.088296 .
idIND -0.770829 0.802083 -0.9610 0.337131
idISR -0.358657 0.240499 -1.4913 0.136691
idITA 0.212298 0.234281 0.9062 0.365407
idJPN -0.987725 0.385453 -2.5625 0.010767 *
idKOR -1.893705 0.391752 -4.8339 1.929e-06 ***
idNLD 0.229950 0.071019 3.2379 0.001307 **
idNOR -1.076737 0.360064 -2.9904 0.002963 **
idRUS -1.577952 0.393619 -4.0088 7.312e-05 ***
idSGP -0.609639 0.311599 -1.9565 0.051121 .
idSWE -0.709645 0.218357 -3.2499 0.001255 **
idTWN 0.378829 0.074934 5.0555 6.615e-07 ***
idUSA 0.590080 0.543956 1.0848 0.278683
time2001 -5.401752 3.193892 -1.6913 0.091583 .
time2002 -5.433616 3.194969 -1.7007 0.089800 .
time2003 -5.338066 3.195319 -1.6706 0.095605 .
time2004 -5.321871 3.195443 -1.6655 0.096625 .
time2005 -5.273542 3.194394 -1.6509 0.099569 .
time2006 -5.244239 3.195677 -1.6410 0.101595
time2007 -5.184712 3.197207 -1.6216 0.105689
time2008 -5.196119 3.199397 -1.6241 0.105164
time2009 -5.100608 3.200729 -1.5936 0.111841
time2010 -5.076921 3.201445 -1.5858 0.113590
time2011 -5.092307 3.202520 -1.5901 0.112624
time2012 -5.153833 3.203798 -1.6087 0.108499
time2013 -5.225000 3.205194 -1.6302 0.103874
time2014 -5.199684 3.206692 -1.6215 0.105716
time2015 -5.228850 3.208281 -1.6298 0.103952
time2016 -5.186013 3.209616 -1.6158 0.106952
time2017 -5.215721 3.210613 -1.6245 0.105072
time2018 -5.192748 3.211672 -1.6168 0.106722
time2019 -5.294789 3.212673 -1.6481 0.100139
iis59 -0.381703 0.090888 -4.1997 3.315e-05 ***
iis63 0.703333 0.089787 7.8333 4.551e-14 ***
iis66 -0.382041 0.089826 -4.2531 2.642e-05 ***
iis98 -0.258230 0.090106 -2.8658 0.004384 **
iis156 -0.205106 0.100687 -2.0371 0.042319 *
iis158 -0.850207 0.150796 -5.6381 3.304e-08 ***
iis173 -0.296536 0.112451 -2.6370 0.008698 **
iis248 -0.369710 0.092715 -3.9876 7.969e-05 ***
iis249 0.212680 0.093110 2.2842 0.022898 *
iis270 0.617170 0.107128 5.7611 1.698e-08 ***
iis395 -0.377041 0.090917 -4.1471 4.135e-05 ***
iis402 0.402868 0.097348 4.1385 4.287e-05 ***
iis403 0.277736 0.095787 2.8995 0.003949 **
iis407 0.517035 0.090798 5.6943 2.440e-08 ***
iis408 0.244992 0.091034 2.6912 0.007425 **
iis439 0.196000 0.092244 2.1248 0.034231 *
fesisAUS.2005 -0.278182 0.054085 -5.1434 4.281e-07 ***
fesisCAN.2004 -0.182633 0.056320 -3.2427 0.001286 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.240219 0.056059 4.2851 2.304e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2005 0.538562 0.112510 4.7868 2.410e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2006 0.608244 0.190546 3.1921 0.001527 **
fesisISR.2003 -0.464733 0.095919 -4.8451 1.830e-06 ***
fesisISR.2006 0.221592 0.099047 2.2372 0.025834 *
fesisISR.2009 -0.645077 0.095825 -6.7318 6.008e-11 ***
fesisISR.2013 -0.458828 0.106069 -4.3258 1.933e-05 ***
fesisISR.2018 -0.560754 0.100214 -5.5956 4.149e-08 ***
fesisNOR.2010 -0.196109 0.045124 -4.3460 1.771e-05 ***
fesisNOR.2017 0.247796 0.060186 4.1172 4.684e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2005 0.240333 0.077408 3.1048 0.002043 **
fesisRUS.2007 -0.527558 0.106707 -4.9440 1.139e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2008 0.233232 0.092096 2.5325 0.011717 *
fesisSGP.2003 0.238529 0.073642 3.2391 0.001302 **
tisDNK.2005 -0.203612 0.048920 -4.1621 3.882e-05 ***
tisDNK.2010 0.210296 0.053437 3.9354 9.835e-05 ***
tisESP.2003 0.081371 0.030370 2.6793 0.007690 **
tisESP.2006 -0.095934 0.033109 -2.8975 0.003974 **
tisFIN.2002 -0.089606 0.028970 -3.0931 0.002124 **
tisFIN.2005 0.090604 0.031499 2.8764 0.004243 **
tisISR.2003 0.100740 0.019854 5.0741 6.037e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 8.5296 1 0.003494 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.9613 1 0.085278 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.08515
R-squared 0.99702
Log-lik.(n=475) 538.59674 Max Count Ccmt
0.01
Formula: max_count_ccmt~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:08:26 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.92164731 0.01333540 69.1128 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.01512646 0.00411605 3.6750 0.0002702 ***
lpop -0.02925243 0.01423442 -2.0550 0.0405215 *
idAUT -0.00311235 0.01180891 -0.2636 0.7922550
idBEL 0.00033237 0.00880942 0.0377 0.9699229
idBRA 0.05034307 0.02949537 1.7068 0.0886310 .
idCAN 0.01465045 0.00649279 2.2564 0.0245822 *
idCHE -0.01509944 0.01318950 -1.1448 0.2529717
idCHN 0.09422570 0.05310347 1.7744 0.0767591 .
idDEU 0.05306429 0.01956293 2.7125 0.0069655 **
idDNK -0.04151110 0.02014584 -2.0605 0.0399924 *
idESP 0.02762005 0.01149480 2.4028 0.0167223 *
idFIN -0.01074487 0.01732326 -0.6203 0.5354411
idFRA 0.03898278 0.01534756 2.5400 0.0114618 *
idGBR 0.03620448 0.01511052 2.3960 0.0170336 *
idIND 0.06063679 0.05065041 1.1972 0.2319504
idISR -0.02389053 0.01431153 -1.6693 0.0958342 .
idITA 0.03070165 0.01419648 2.1626 0.0311606 *
idJPN 0.03087426 0.02568549 1.2020 0.2300684
idKOR -0.04808118 0.02342152 -2.0529 0.0407342 *
idNLD 0.00684626 0.00435354 1.5726 0.1166068
idNOR -0.05406317 0.02294774 -2.3559 0.0189571 *
idRUS -0.00454401 0.02275730 -0.1997 0.8418377
idSGP -0.02078088 0.01882259 -1.1040 0.2702382
idSWE -0.03697559 0.01445657 -2.5577 0.0109035 *
idTWN 0.01558739 0.00364772 4.2732 2.410e-05 ***
idUSA 0.10081795 0.03494541 2.8850 0.0041252 **
time2001 0.06958925 0.20305207 0.3427 0.7319915
time2002 0.06795261 0.20314205 0.3345 0.7381712
time2003 0.07174976 0.20320985 0.3531 0.7242124
time2004 0.07270016 0.20329918 0.3576 0.7208294
time2005 0.07177538 0.20336974 0.3529 0.7243260
time2006 0.07197794 0.20348924 0.3537 0.7237356
time2007 0.07374700 0.20361552 0.3622 0.7174027
time2008 0.07473096 0.20374909 0.3668 0.7139771
time2009 0.07624863 0.20389657 0.3740 0.7086337
time2010 0.07708041 0.20400854 0.3778 0.7057573
time2011 0.07241224 0.20411765 0.3548 0.7229579
time2012 0.07089025 0.20424732 0.3471 0.7287130
time2013 0.06729243 0.20433098 0.3293 0.7420778
time2014 0.06983007 0.20440895 0.3416 0.7328163
time2015 0.06797164 0.20449042 0.3324 0.7397645
time2016 0.07201468 0.20458577 0.3520 0.7250214
time2017 0.07369729 0.20466174 0.3601 0.7189671
time2018 0.07193263 0.20474225 0.3513 0.7255233
time2019 0.06603131 0.20482001 0.3224 0.7473275
iis130 0.04685850 0.00867166 5.4036 1.123e-07 ***
iis132 -0.04364712 0.01189459 -3.6695 0.0002759 ***
iis133 -0.08142484 0.01394984 -5.8370 1.098e-08 ***
iis146 -0.04174932 0.00781516 -5.3421 1.544e-07 ***
iis313 0.10855306 0.00922657 11.7653 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 0.23559291 0.00868916 27.1134 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 0.13671583 0.00823617 16.5994 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis323 -0.17071885 0.00884549 -19.3001 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis338 -0.08382065 0.00954076 -8.7855 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis340 -0.06161857 0.00854770 -7.2088 2.828e-12 ***
iis459 -0.03778384 0.00843779 -4.4779 9.839e-06 ***
iis463 0.03427361 0.00795625 4.3078 2.077e-05 ***
iis468 0.09112189 0.00898211 10.1448 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis469 0.06418385 0.00895868 7.1644 3.771e-12 ***
iis470 -0.08897469 0.00903455 -9.8483 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis473 -0.04723279 0.00894749 -5.2789 2.134e-07 ***
iis474 -0.04547220 0.00896215 -5.0738 5.976e-07 ***
iis475 -0.07742433 0.00902513 -8.5788 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 0.03503916 0.00466134 7.5170 3.698e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -0.03276939 0.00416691 -7.8642 3.475e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -0.07437338 0.00773144 -9.6196 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 0.07794742 0.00680466 11.4550 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2015 0.04610489 0.01101719 4.1848 3.510e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2005 0.03877285 0.00619137 6.2624 9.770e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -0.03152524 0.00687437 -4.5859 6.050e-06 ***
tisCHN.2015 0.02754644 0.00281879 9.7724 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisJPN.2008 0.00793312 0.00088592 8.9547 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2009 -0.01045296 0.00162876 -6.4177 3.908e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.97541 1 0.3233
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 42.08223 1 8.751e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.00715
R-squared 0.99902
Log-lik.(n=475) 1709.94923 0.05
Formula: max_count_ccmt~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:08:47 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.95264231 0.01211412 78.6390 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.01284192 0.00329385 3.8988 0.0001138 ***
lpop -0.02046203 0.01133483 -1.8052 0.0718090 .
idAUT 0.00160175 0.00935498 0.1712 0.8641402
idBEL 0.00350155 0.00697450 0.5020 0.6159159
idBRA 0.03348559 0.02345163 1.4279 0.1541330
idCAN 0.01014743 0.00517859 1.9595 0.0507665 .
idCHE -0.00827392 0.01046974 -0.7903 0.4298507
idCHN 0.06276952 0.04222379 1.4866 0.1379307
idDEU 0.03251364 0.01571350 2.0692 0.0391900 *
idDNK -0.02916569 0.01604225 -1.8181 0.0698229 .
idESP 0.02037134 0.00916171 2.2235 0.0267523 *
idFIN -0.00280878 0.01373414 -0.2045 0.8380609
idFRA 0.02736693 0.01226783 2.2308 0.0262633 *
idGBR 0.02539001 0.01206481 2.1045 0.0359770 *
idIND 0.03402176 0.04021289 0.8460 0.3980487
idISR -0.01554621 0.01138043 -1.3660 0.1727110
idITA 0.02154918 0.01131160 1.9051 0.0575086 .
idJPN -0.00815875 0.02060492 -0.3960 0.6923501
idKOR -0.04343360 0.01859328 -2.3360 0.0199981 *
idNLD 0.00687960 0.00344743 1.9956 0.0466751 *
idNOR -0.03907594 0.01829933 -2.1354 0.0333528 *
idRUS -0.01189977 0.01801875 -0.6604 0.5093805
idSGP -0.01082603 0.01494284 -0.7245 0.4691956
idSWE -0.02768560 0.01153215 -2.4007 0.0168300 *
idTWN 0.01267318 0.00293925 4.3117 2.054e-05 ***
idUSA 0.07239236 0.02794275 2.5907 0.0099361 **
time2001 -0.01359413 0.16089331 -0.0845 0.9327089
time2002 -0.01535931 0.16096510 -0.0954 0.9240301
time2003 -0.01337107 0.16102080 -0.0830 0.9338628
time2004 -0.01238377 0.16109312 -0.0769 0.9387637
time2005 -0.01325573 0.16114971 -0.0823 0.9344843
time2006 -0.01120994 0.16123440 -0.0695 0.9446068
time2007 -0.01155670 0.16134283 -0.0716 0.9429345
time2008 -0.01081263 0.16145729 -0.0670 0.9466407
time2009 -0.01007477 0.16157428 -0.0624 0.9503130
time2010 -0.00852029 0.16166421 -0.0527 0.9579950
time2011 -0.01185847 0.16175088 -0.0733 0.9415945
time2012 -0.01317308 0.16183337 -0.0814 0.9351664
time2013 -0.01821675 0.16190818 -0.1125 0.9104747
time2014 -0.01591994 0.16197115 -0.0983 0.9217535
time2015 -0.01761652 0.16203671 -0.1087 0.9134811
time2016 -0.01510845 0.16211580 -0.0932 0.9257962
time2017 -0.01281245 0.16217955 -0.0790 0.9370719
time2018 -0.01507194 0.16224880 -0.0929 0.9260355
time2019 -0.01711469 0.16230502 -0.1054 0.9160748
iis130 0.04894920 0.00684810 7.1479 4.371e-12 ***
iis132 -0.04350708 0.00937883 -4.6389 4.790e-06 ***
iis133 -0.08492766 0.01100709 -7.7157 1.017e-13 ***
iis146 -0.02945896 0.00681489 -4.3227 1.959e-05 ***
iis152 -0.08663196 0.00766209 -11.3066 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis307 0.04354970 0.00666465 6.5344 1.999e-10 ***
iis308 0.03173613 0.00664302 4.7774 2.519e-06 ***
iis309 0.02455192 0.00667246 3.6796 0.0002664 ***
iis311 0.03502655 0.00670921 5.2207 2.905e-07 ***
iis313 0.13620023 0.01008584 13.5041 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 0.25776396 0.00896383 28.7560 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 0.14868044 0.00760019 19.5627 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis320 0.01658232 0.00638223 2.5982 0.0097264 **
iis323 -0.17987489 0.00780310 -23.0517 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 0.02087360 0.00821128 2.5421 0.0114060 *
iis338 -0.08570601 0.00801359 -10.6951 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis340 -0.06655410 0.00691073 -9.6306 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis459 -0.03765179 0.00666043 -5.6531 3.049e-08 ***
iis463 0.03738865 0.00629591 5.9386 6.367e-09 ***
iis468 0.09036866 0.00708947 12.7469 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis469 0.06193255 0.00707069 8.7590 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis470 -0.09274932 0.00714909 -12.9736 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis473 -0.04716884 0.00705776 -6.6833 8.096e-11 ***
iis474 -0.04351226 0.00708012 -6.1457 1.968e-09 ***
iis475 -0.07804699 0.00714624 -10.9214 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -0.02422966 0.00949360 -2.5522 0.0110846 *
fesisJPN.2008 -0.05155504 0.00690473 -7.4666 5.430e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2009 -0.03659424 0.01070995 -3.4168 0.0007002 ***
fesisKOR.2009 0.05490969 0.00640545 8.5723 2.404e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2011 -0.03593809 0.00656719 -5.4724 7.959e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2015 0.02354368 0.00627640 3.7511 0.0002027 ***
fesisUSA.2005 0.03126868 0.00512475 6.1015 2.535e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -0.03857120 0.00563919 -6.8398 3.077e-11 ***
tisCHN.2015 0.02544530 0.00226782 11.2202 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2004 0.00847220 0.00089831 9.4313 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2010 -0.02422006 0.00392636 -6.1686 1.725e-09 ***
tisDEU.2013 0.02475646 0.00363022 6.8195 3.491e-11 ***
tisJPN.2008 0.01050171 0.00113995 9.2124 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2017 -0.01722094 0.00267229 -6.4443 3.430e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.82684 1 0.363189
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 8.19291 1 0.004205 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.00564
R-squared 0.99941
Log-lik.(n=475) 1828.33490 Energy
Count Energy
0.01
Formula: count_energy~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:05:04 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.7222e-01 1.3110e-02 58.9031 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 7.3570e-13 1.1197e-13 6.5703 1.558e-10 ***
pop 1.7344e-06 3.5671e-07 4.8621 1.669e-06 ***
idAUT 2.7942e+01 1.3741e+01 2.0334 0.0426662 *
idBEL 1.0028e+01 1.3441e+01 0.7461 0.4560654
idBRA -3.2014e+02 6.3439e+01 -5.0464 6.833e-07 ***
idCAN 9.1894e+00 1.3570e+01 0.6772 0.4986794
idCHE 2.6730e+01 1.3821e+01 1.9340 0.0538109 .
idCHN -2.1599e+03 4.6320e+02 -4.6629 4.249e-06 ***
idDEU 5.0510e+01 3.1201e+01 1.6189 0.1062579
idDNK 6.1929e+01 1.4290e+01 4.3336 1.855e-05 ***
idESP -3.4231e+01 1.5256e+01 -2.2437 0.0253956 *
idFIN 2.0100e+01 1.4142e+01 1.4213 0.1560070
idFRA 8.0469e+00 1.9901e+01 0.4044 0.6861674
idGBR -1.3555e+01 1.9306e+01 -0.7021 0.4829958
idIND -1.8761e+03 3.8109e+02 -4.9231 1.246e-06 ***
idISR 2.1564e+01 1.3831e+01 1.5591 0.1197561
idITA -5.0329e+01 1.8365e+01 -2.7405 0.0064074 **
idJPN 8.1894e+01 6.5022e+01 1.2595 0.2085857
idKOR -6.6343e+02 1.2775e+02 -5.1932 3.291e-07 ***
idNLD 1.6352e+01 1.3009e+01 1.2570 0.2094903
idNOR 1.6818e+01 1.4214e+01 1.1832 0.2374241
idRUS -2.7667e+02 4.6081e+01 -6.0040 4.308e-09 ***
idSGP 1.6729e+01 1.4199e+01 1.1782 0.2394094
idSWE 1.5848e+01 1.3614e+01 1.1641 0.2450730
idTWN 4.5603e+01 1.3029e+01 3.5000 0.0005173 ***
idUSA -1.1858e+02 9.7831e+01 -1.2121 0.2261731
time2001 -2.8635e+01 1.3586e+01 -2.1076 0.0356815 *
time2002 -3.7403e+01 1.3667e+01 -2.7367 0.0064821 **
time2003 -3.3683e+01 1.3768e+01 -2.4465 0.0148511 *
time2004 -1.7466e+01 1.3870e+01 -1.2593 0.2086542
time2005 -1.6213e+01 1.3960e+01 -1.1613 0.2461906
time2006 -2.1626e+01 1.4074e+01 -1.5366 0.1251767
time2007 4.7731e+00 1.4198e+01 0.3362 0.7369156
time2008 2.0571e+00 1.4310e+01 0.1438 0.8857675
time2009 1.5242e+01 1.4621e+01 1.0425 0.2977975
time2010 1.5338e+01 1.4680e+01 1.0448 0.2967344
time2011 9.2260e+00 1.4761e+01 0.6250 0.5323037
time2012 -2.5735e+01 1.4992e+01 -1.7166 0.0868257 .
time2013 -2.8830e+01 1.5129e+01 -1.9056 0.0574204 .
time2014 -2.4561e+01 1.4907e+01 -1.6476 0.1002136
time2015 -4.3924e+01 1.4761e+01 -2.9758 0.0030989 **
time2016 -2.3159e+01 1.4767e+01 -1.5684 0.1175852
time2017 -6.9331e+00 1.4742e+01 -0.4703 0.6384039
time2018 -1.3475e+01 1.4797e+01 -0.9107 0.3629961
time2019 -4.1966e+01 1.4775e+01 -2.8402 0.0047369 **
iis130 2.6971e+02 4.5466e+01 5.9322 6.451e-09 ***
iis131 2.7056e+02 4.7836e+01 5.6560 2.945e-08 ***
iis132 2.8503e+02 5.1319e+01 5.5540 5.086e-08 ***
iis146 -3.0257e+02 4.7608e+01 -6.3555 5.642e-10 ***
iis313 5.8872e+02 4.2406e+01 13.8829 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 1.3650e+03 4.2302e+01 32.2680 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 7.4614e+02 4.6074e+01 16.1945 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis317 -2.6068e+02 4.4286e+01 -5.8863 8.336e-09 ***
iis323 -8.6229e+02 4.8040e+01 -17.9493 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 3.6821e+02 4.3892e+01 8.3890 8.411e-16 ***
iis333 3.2322e+02 4.4930e+01 7.1940 3.102e-12 ***
iis336 1.6432e+02 5.1515e+01 3.1897 0.0015360 **
iis339 4.8261e+02 4.4653e+01 10.8080 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 1.2179e+02 4.6042e+01 2.6452 0.0084834 **
iis465 1.6014e+02 4.4814e+01 3.5735 0.0003951 ***
iis470 -4.4524e+02 4.2910e+01 -10.3762 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.7944e+02 5.3575e+01 3.3494 0.0008863 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -3.1390e+02 4.5084e+01 -6.9626 1.368e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -4.8331e+02 5.7432e+01 -8.4152 6.955e-16 ***
tisCHN.2014 5.7377e+01 9.4886e+00 6.0469 3.378e-09 ***
tisDEU.2004 3.3044e+01 9.6864e+00 3.4113 0.0007120 ***
tisDEU.2012 -3.2030e+01 1.1981e+01 -2.6733 0.0078176 **
tisIND.2002 -3.2480e+01 6.1566e+00 -5.2756 2.168e-07 ***
tisJPN.2009 3.4943e+01 3.8544e+00 9.0658 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2009 3.0295e+01 1.0336e+01 2.9312 0.0035698 **
tisUSA.2005 1.8693e+02 1.3071e+01 14.3010 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2008 -2.3510e+02 1.5229e+01 -15.4376 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.375 1 0.1233
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 38.109 1 6.689e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 39.60126
R-squared 0.99846
Log-lik.(n=475) -2384.95477 0.05
Formula: count_energy~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:04:21 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.2839e-01 1.7998e-02 46.0265 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.3000e-12 1.1568e-13 11.2377 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop 1.1872e-06 3.4249e-07 3.4663 0.0005852 ***
idAUT 2.1177e+01 1.2946e+01 1.6358 0.1026617
idBEL 6.6453e+00 1.2631e+01 0.5261 0.5991142
idBRA -2.2247e+02 6.1027e+01 -3.6454 0.0003023 ***
idCAN 8.4625e+00 1.2781e+01 0.6621 0.5082718
idCHE 1.8955e+01 1.3033e+01 1.4544 0.1466262
idCHN -1.4850e+03 4.4418e+02 -3.3432 0.0009067 ***
idDEU 3.9785e+01 2.9359e+01 1.3551 0.1761452
idDNK 4.6489e+01 1.3666e+01 3.4018 0.0007372 ***
idESP -2.2667e+01 1.4393e+01 -1.5749 0.1160787
idFIN 1.3861e+01 1.3306e+01 1.0418 0.2981475
idFRA 1.4325e+01 1.8760e+01 0.7636 0.4455638
idGBR -3.3151e+00 1.8167e+01 -0.1825 0.8552988
idIND -1.3128e+03 3.6600e+02 -3.5869 0.0003762 ***
idISR 1.4716e+01 1.3022e+01 1.1301 0.2591172
idITA -3.3319e+01 1.7361e+01 -1.9192 0.0556690 .
idJPN -2.7380e+02 6.3176e+01 -4.3339 1.857e-05 ***
idKOR -1.2316e+03 1.2186e+02 -10.1060 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 1.2242e+01 1.2245e+01 0.9998 0.3180340
idNOR 9.2857e+00 1.3370e+01 0.6945 0.4877566
idRUS -2.5026e+02 4.4629e+01 -5.6076 3.843e-08 ***
idSGP 1.1001e+01 1.3352e+01 0.8239 0.4104815
idSWE 8.3441e+00 1.2809e+01 0.6514 0.5151340
idTWN 3.7322e+01 1.2420e+01 3.0051 0.0028230 **
idUSA -4.2098e+01 9.2236e+01 -0.4564 0.6483357
time2001 -1.5013e+01 1.2815e+01 -1.1716 0.2420639
time2002 -2.6268e+01 1.2882e+01 -2.0392 0.0420871 *
time2003 -2.9274e+01 1.3023e+01 -2.2479 0.0251296 *
time2004 -9.7547e+00 1.3082e+01 -0.7456 0.4563299
time2005 -1.0973e+01 1.3171e+01 -0.8331 0.4052744
time2006 -1.4420e+01 1.3329e+01 -1.0819 0.2799604
time2007 1.5873e+01 1.3394e+01 1.1851 0.2366913
time2008 1.7664e+01 1.3509e+01 1.3076 0.1917672
time2009 2.2879e+01 1.3673e+01 1.6733 0.0950585 .
time2010 1.1380e+01 1.3843e+01 0.8221 0.4115140
time2011 1.0901e+01 1.3904e+01 0.7840 0.4335044
time2012 -2.3392e+01 1.4087e+01 -1.6605 0.0975969 .
time2013 -2.7554e+01 1.4241e+01 -1.9348 0.0537184 .
time2014 -1.9858e+01 1.4097e+01 -1.4086 0.1597201
time2015 -3.5029e+01 1.3941e+01 -2.5126 0.0123778 *
time2016 -1.4955e+01 1.3897e+01 -1.0761 0.2825198
time2017 -6.7468e-01 1.3856e+01 -0.0487 0.9611889
time2018 -9.5624e+00 1.3899e+01 -0.6880 0.4918637
time2019 -3.8928e+01 1.3882e+01 -2.8042 0.0052905 **
iis130 2.9043e+02 4.3114e+01 6.7363 5.706e-11 ***
iis131 2.8312e+02 4.5042e+01 6.2857 8.584e-10 ***
iis132 2.8959e+02 4.8210e+01 6.0070 4.268e-09 ***
iis146 -3.0175e+02 5.2908e+01 -5.7033 2.294e-08 ***
iis307 1.3663e+02 4.1286e+01 3.3093 0.0010207 **
iis313 7.0763e+02 4.9670e+01 14.2465 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 1.4447e+03 4.6759e+01 30.8970 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 7.4258e+02 5.0187e+01 14.7964 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis316 -1.0595e+02 5.1377e+01 -2.0622 0.0398413 *
iis317 -2.7719e+02 4.5420e+01 -6.1028 2.475e-09 ***
iis323 -8.8342e+02 4.6179e+01 -19.1303 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 4.1679e+02 4.1973e+01 9.9300 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis333 3.3054e+02 4.2136e+01 7.8446 4.039e-14 ***
iis336 1.3724e+02 4.6922e+01 2.9250 0.0036422 **
iis339 5.0073e+02 4.2036e+01 11.9120 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis470 -3.8398e+02 5.2424e+01 -7.3245 1.343e-12 ***
fesisDEU.2006 1.1895e+02 4.7183e+01 2.5210 0.0120934 *
fesisDEU.2013 3.0125e+02 8.9358e+01 3.3713 0.0008214 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -1.7780e+02 4.3563e+01 -4.0813 5.413e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2006 -2.4599e+02 3.9615e+01 -6.2094 1.339e-09 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -5.1201e+02 4.5350e+01 -11.2902 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -2.3515e+02 4.4201e+01 -5.3200 1.735e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -1.1719e+02 5.6953e+01 -2.0577 0.0402694 *
tisCHN.2014 4.2286e+01 9.4093e+00 4.4941 9.172e-06 ***
tisDEU.2004 3.4758e+01 8.9685e+00 3.8755 0.0001244 ***
tisDEU.2012 -3.4770e+02 5.0412e+01 -6.8972 2.094e-11 ***
tisDEU.2014 3.2072e+02 4.7139e+01 6.8037 3.758e-11 ***
tisIND.2002 -2.6531e+01 5.9218e+00 -4.4802 9.759e-06 ***
tisJPN.2008 3.7580e+01 5.2777e+00 7.1206 5.057e-12 ***
tisUSA.2005 1.7456e+02 1.2464e+01 14.0053 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2008 -1.9132e+02 1.7138e+01 -11.1633 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 9.6759 1 0.001867 **
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 38.7993 1 4.697e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 37.19791
R-squared 0.99866
Log-lik.(n=475) -2353.21575 Log Count Energy
0.01
Formula: log_count_energy~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:04:59 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.547768 0.029767 18.4019 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.683959 0.109212 6.2626 9.527e-10 ***
lpop -1.586380 0.341905 -4.6398 4.692e-06 ***
idAUT -0.432067 0.286001 -1.5107 0.1316277
idBEL -0.342328 0.214390 -1.5968 0.1110866
idBRA 1.639476 0.696453 2.3540 0.0190396 *
idCAN 0.994955 0.159555 6.2358 1.115e-09 ***
idCHE -0.959095 0.315128 -3.0435 0.0024882 **
idCHN 5.037915 1.270884 3.9641 8.684e-05 ***
idDEU 2.879905 0.447834 6.4307 3.523e-10 ***
idDNK -2.288836 0.485593 -4.7135 3.337e-06 ***
idESP 0.871054 0.274479 3.1735 0.0016192 **
idFIN -1.137549 0.418617 -2.7174 0.0068572 **
idFRA 2.180272 0.371083 5.8754 8.706e-09 ***
idGBR 2.133808 0.367327 5.8090 1.258e-08 ***
idIND 3.673441 1.212823 3.0288 0.0026095 **
idISR -1.462923 0.343256 -4.2619 2.515e-05 ***
idITA 1.718463 0.342047 5.0241 7.553e-07 ***
idJPN 0.481343 0.585801 0.8217 0.4117319
idKOR -2.079844 0.606902 -3.4270 0.0006717 ***
idNLD 0.247902 0.109358 2.2669 0.0239150 *
idNOR -3.158116 0.560318 -5.6363 3.228e-08 ***
idRUS 0.395239 0.575115 0.6872 0.4923211
idSGP -2.656453 0.500923 -5.3031 1.861e-07 ***
idSWE -2.036025 0.353517 -5.7593 1.654e-08 ***
idTWN 0.896391 0.097319 9.2108 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 4.065720 0.822153 4.9452 1.109e-06 ***
time2001 9.361479 4.935533 1.8968 0.0585599 .
time2002 9.307253 4.937426 1.8850 0.0601277 .
time2003 9.382062 4.938952 1.8996 0.0581829 .
time2004 9.426267 4.940510 1.9080 0.0570920 .
time2005 9.536034 4.942863 1.9293 0.0543859 .
time2006 9.593812 4.944869 1.9402 0.0530429 .
time2007 9.738097 4.947520 1.9683 0.0497061 *
time2008 9.822186 4.950358 1.9841 0.0479037 *
time2009 9.883925 4.952834 1.9956 0.0466344 *
time2010 9.876216 4.954935 1.9932 0.0468977 *
time2011 9.886885 4.956848 1.9946 0.0467459 *
time2012 9.783170 4.958976 1.9728 0.0491841 *
time2013 9.673907 4.961001 1.9500 0.0518551 .
time2014 9.663901 4.962993 1.9472 0.0521908 .
time2015 9.609415 4.965080 1.9354 0.0536252 .
time2016 9.686525 4.967002 1.9502 0.0518331 .
time2017 9.762755 4.968862 1.9648 0.0501105 .
time2018 9.721512 4.970529 1.9558 0.0511606 .
time2019 9.609059 4.972178 1.9326 0.0539749 .
iis41 -0.648768 0.165873 -3.9112 0.0001074 ***
iis43 -0.555559 0.165119 -3.3646 0.0008384 ***
iis57 -0.604621 0.165440 -3.6546 0.0002909 ***
iis74 -0.899794 0.175990 -5.1128 4.872e-07 ***
iis415 0.525229 0.171641 3.0600 0.0023577 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.778779 0.159006 4.8978 1.395e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.313585 0.101273 3.0964 0.0020926 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.371551 0.092374 4.0223 6.857e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.462434 0.090130 -5.1307 4.454e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2003 1.162718 0.149814 7.7611 6.712e-14 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -0.775538 0.188124 -4.1225 4.534e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.148618 0.186656 6.1537 1.796e-09 ***
tisBRA.2002 0.229749 0.040765 5.6359 3.234e-08 ***
tisBRA.2006 -0.305001 0.051979 -5.8677 9.087e-09 ***
tisESP.2003 0.417821 0.069228 6.0354 3.537e-09 ***
tisESP.2005 -0.438819 0.073845 -5.9424 5.984e-09 ***
tisSGP.2002 -0.048902 0.012492 -3.9146 0.0001059 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.8141 1 0.093437 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 7.1960 1 0.007307 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.15681
R-squared 0.99019
Log-lik.(n=475) 237.56048 0.05
Formula: log_count_energy~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:04:58 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.555365 0.027262 20.3716 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.610178 0.094141 6.4815 2.791e-10 ***
lpop -0.961067 0.356180 -2.6983 0.0072778 **
idAUT 0.112241 0.312440 0.3592 0.7196139
idBEL 0.023216 0.227574 0.1020 0.9187966
idBRA 0.617220 0.762093 0.8099 0.4184981
idCAN 0.781043 0.192615 4.0549 6.074e-05 ***
idCHE -0.389950 0.339838 -1.1475 0.2519062
idCHN 2.480689 1.373672 1.8059 0.0717199 .
idDEU 1.867353 0.485238 3.8483 0.0001392 ***
idDNK -1.520627 0.487524 -3.1191 0.0019511 **
idESP 0.456398 0.305559 1.4936 0.1360888
idFIN -0.612161 0.424604 -1.4417 0.1501957
idFRA 1.302138 0.408560 3.1871 0.0015545 **
idGBR 1.264995 0.403523 3.1349 0.0018515 **
idIND 1.235394 1.322420 0.9342 0.3507920
idISR -1.075763 0.377322 -2.8511 0.0045928 **
idITA 0.889780 0.380939 2.3358 0.0200179 *
idJPN -0.431316 0.599168 -0.7199 0.4720499
idKOR -2.320941 0.537038 -4.3217 1.974e-05 ***
idNLD 0.143453 0.105389 1.3612 0.1742576
idNOR -2.532922 0.571540 -4.4317 1.221e-05 ***
idRUS -0.868031 0.629861 -1.3781 0.1689650
idSGP -1.620788 0.510859 -3.1727 0.0016320 **
idSWE -1.653373 0.338169 -4.8892 1.491e-06 ***
idTWN 0.608577 0.109831 5.5410 5.594e-08 ***
idUSA 2.351233 0.889282 2.6440 0.0085299 **
time2001 1.030473 5.228632 0.1971 0.8438671
time2002 0.957611 5.229803 0.1831 0.8548111
time2003 1.076927 5.231644 0.2058 0.8370181
time2004 1.158052 5.231386 0.2214 0.8249249
time2005 1.242654 5.231188 0.2375 0.8123590
time2006 1.288188 5.232137 0.2462 0.8056537
time2007 1.417910 5.234121 0.2709 0.7866155
time2008 1.478517 5.236612 0.2823 0.7778332
time2009 1.577376 5.237466 0.3012 0.7634466
time2010 1.564600 5.239110 0.2986 0.7653775
time2011 1.588519 5.240667 0.3031 0.7619672
time2012 1.459646 5.242808 0.2784 0.7808482
time2013 1.358574 5.244978 0.2590 0.7957557
time2014 1.342583 5.247302 0.2559 0.7981947
time2015 1.296004 5.249620 0.2469 0.8051363
time2016 1.378061 5.252179 0.2624 0.7931700
time2017 1.429969 5.253876 0.2722 0.7856345
time2018 1.342987 5.255707 0.2555 0.7984512
time2019 1.261183 5.257274 0.2399 0.8105413
iis41 -0.639421 0.140031 -4.5663 6.696e-06 ***
iis43 -0.558379 0.138677 -4.0265 6.824e-05 ***
iis49 -0.463744 0.138448 -3.3496 0.0008895 ***
iis57 -0.603223 0.138707 -4.3489 1.755e-05 ***
iis58 -0.481880 0.154424 -3.1205 0.0019420 **
iis71 0.403426 0.142803 2.8250 0.0049742 **
iis72 0.703948 0.142503 4.9399 1.169e-06 ***
iis74 -0.571698 0.142826 -4.0028 7.515e-05 ***
iis75 0.582543 0.143369 4.0632 5.871e-05 ***
iis156 -0.373864 0.154152 -2.4253 0.0157563 *
iis173 -0.428904 0.179643 -2.3875 0.0174443 *
iis374 -0.337258 0.143587 -2.3488 0.0193401 *
iis382 0.418693 0.149364 2.8032 0.0053168 **
iis385 0.407659 0.150160 2.7148 0.0069300 **
iis395 -0.393126 0.138919 -2.8299 0.0049009 **
iis400 -0.558208 0.167724 -3.3281 0.0009588 ***
iis402 0.859845 0.165329 5.2008 3.234e-07 ***
iis403 0.626887 0.163578 3.8323 0.0001483 ***
iis404 1.009859 0.164088 6.1544 1.898e-09 ***
iis407 0.346458 0.150103 2.3081 0.0215225 *
iis415 0.594258 0.145676 4.0793 5.495e-05 ***
iis417 0.536318 0.153703 3.4893 0.0005404 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.268553 0.082949 -3.2376 0.0013103 **
fesisBEL.2003 -0.238489 0.102591 -2.3247 0.0206106 *
fesisBRA.2005 0.412006 0.105106 3.9199 0.0001049 ***
fesisBRA.2009 -0.452831 0.084298 -5.3718 1.354e-07 ***
fesisCAN.2004 -0.318432 0.087870 -3.6239 0.0003292 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.606457 0.163546 -3.7082 0.0002395 ***
fesisCHE.2004 0.396313 0.139710 2.8367 0.0048000 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.257375 0.086704 2.9684 0.0031809 **
fesisESP.2016 -0.234572 0.118816 -1.9743 0.0490692 *
fesisISR.2005 -0.402816 0.150234 -2.6813 0.0076507 **
fesisISR.2006 0.794424 0.154211 5.1515 4.139e-07 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.411638 0.091355 -4.5059 8.784e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.254455 0.086901 -2.9281 0.0036137 **
fesisSGP.2007 1.148969 0.146800 7.8268 4.915e-14 ***
tisAUT.2002 -0.417118 0.146838 -2.8407 0.0047418 **
tisAUT.2003 0.432353 0.149058 2.9006 0.0039392 **
tisCHN.2014 0.081951 0.020105 4.0763 5.565e-05 ***
tisESP.2003 0.233824 0.074224 3.1502 0.0017593 **
tisESP.2005 -0.236994 0.079607 -2.9771 0.0030946 **
tisNOR.2003 0.370473 0.117382 3.1561 0.0017250 **
tisNOR.2004 -0.404057 0.122442 -3.3000 0.0010573 **
tisNOR.2016 0.148932 0.040060 3.7177 0.0002309 ***
tisSGP.2002 -0.060502 0.012130 -4.9880 9.260e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.2880 1 0.1304
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.0117 1 0.1561
SE of regression 0.13039
R-squared 0.99368
Log-lik.(n=475) 339.20179 Ihs Count Energy
0.01
Formula: ihs_count_energy~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:04:18 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.586116 0.029150 20.1071 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.604756 0.110039 5.4959 6.881e-08 ***
lpop -1.427243 0.339454 -4.2045 3.221e-05 ***
idAUT -0.403325 0.284639 -1.4170 0.1572592
idBEL -0.317400 0.213302 -1.4880 0.1375185
idBRA 1.893666 0.691764 2.7374 0.0064641 **
idCAN 0.903159 0.158058 5.7141 2.137e-08 ***
idCHE -0.875362 0.312952 -2.7971 0.0054014 **
idCHN 4.592439 1.260931 3.6421 0.0003054 ***
idDEU 2.618744 0.443233 5.9083 7.323e-09 ***
idDNK -1.990043 0.480783 -4.1392 4.241e-05 ***
idESP 0.746690 0.273000 2.7351 0.0065089 **
idFIN -1.053657 0.415855 -2.5337 0.0116614 *
idFRA 1.979197 0.367771 5.3816 1.251e-07 ***
idGBR 1.932550 0.364222 5.3060 1.847e-07 ***
idIND 3.358260 1.204428 2.7883 0.0055483 **
idISR -1.325455 0.340605 -3.8915 0.0001164 ***
idITA 1.550523 0.339434 4.5680 6.541e-06 ***
idJPN 0.522081 0.585566 0.8916 0.3731440
idKOR -1.768277 0.612434 -2.8873 0.0040934 **
idNLD 0.213242 0.109702 1.9438 0.0526070 .
idNOR -2.848153 0.556582 -5.1172 4.794e-07 ***
idRUS 0.391387 0.573720 0.6822 0.4955067
idSGP -2.213464 0.501442 -4.4142 1.301e-05 ***
idSWE -1.828112 0.351698 -5.1980 3.199e-07 ***
idTWN 0.819800 0.097313 8.4244 6.342e-16 ***
idUSA 3.709267 0.814339 4.5549 6.939e-06 ***
time2001 9.051779 4.910105 1.8435 0.0659847 .
time2002 8.946333 4.911801 1.8214 0.0692825 .
time2003 9.049696 4.913289 1.8419 0.0662216 .
time2004 9.111019 4.914894 1.8538 0.0644991 .
time2005 9.204686 4.916839 1.8721 0.0619150 .
time2006 9.266194 4.918703 1.8839 0.0602970 .
time2007 9.405373 4.921719 1.9110 0.0567093 .
time2008 9.475752 4.924387 1.9243 0.0550219 .
time2009 9.522384 4.926687 1.9328 0.0539539 .
time2010 9.508565 4.928738 1.9292 0.0544016 .
time2011 9.515320 4.930626 1.9298 0.0543230 .
time2012 9.406095 4.932725 1.9069 0.0572422 .
time2013 9.295776 4.934810 1.8837 0.0603180 .
time2014 9.300767 4.936749 1.8840 0.0602811 .
time2015 9.245986 4.938903 1.8721 0.0619152 .
time2016 9.341022 4.940875 1.8906 0.0593949 .
time2017 9.410188 4.942715 1.9039 0.0576365 .
time2018 9.331927 4.944614 1.8873 0.0598343 .
time2019 9.258609 4.946031 1.8719 0.0619354 .
iis41 -0.696284 0.165057 -4.2185 3.036e-05 ***
iis43 -0.580517 0.164520 -3.5286 0.0004656 ***
iis57 -0.640753 0.164745 -3.8894 0.0001174 ***
iis58 -0.700489 0.167825 -4.1739 3.665e-05 ***
iis62 0.581190 0.167450 3.4708 0.0005745 ***
iis63 0.559701 0.167923 3.3331 0.0009377 ***
iis74 -0.709687 0.195096 -3.6376 0.0003106 ***
iis75 0.522275 0.197410 2.6456 0.0084704 **
iis400 -0.769137 0.199663 -3.8522 0.0001360 ***
iis402 1.069088 0.197535 5.4121 1.067e-07 ***
iis403 0.744115 0.195268 3.8107 0.0001600 ***
iis404 1.140998 0.195981 5.8220 1.183e-08 ***
iis415 0.638884 0.174049 3.6707 0.0002742 ***
iis417 0.557252 0.183310 3.0399 0.0025195 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.545598 0.123505 4.4176 1.282e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2016 -0.489606 0.160739 -3.0460 0.0024707 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.309392 0.100694 3.0726 0.0022650 **
fesisDNK.2007 0.303230 0.081934 3.7009 0.0002444 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.423258 0.089653 -4.7211 3.235e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.395564 0.164542 8.4815 4.184e-16 ***
tisESP.2003 0.405515 0.068698 5.9028 7.549e-09 ***
tisESP.2005 -0.427286 0.073297 -5.8295 1.134e-08 ***
tisSGP.2002 -0.066343 0.013414 -4.9459 1.112e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.9388 1 0.0262609 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 12.8836 1 0.0003315 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.15601
R-squared 0.99068
Log-lik.(n=475) 242.98999 0.05
Formula: ihs_count_energy~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:04:39 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.590150 0.026993 21.8629 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.558470 0.096626 5.7797 1.539e-08 ***
lpop -0.720388 0.355388 -2.0270 0.0433411 *
idAUT 0.278000 0.321979 0.8634 0.3884444
idBEL 0.154390 0.235940 0.6544 0.5132675
idBRA 0.176008 0.766803 0.2295 0.8185745
idCAN 0.649509 0.195892 3.3157 0.0010004 **
idCHE -0.195584 0.344033 -0.5685 0.5700212
idCHN 1.604592 1.381312 1.1616 0.2460945
idDEU 1.481528 0.487116 3.0414 0.0025145 **
idDNK -1.153319 0.484128 -2.3823 0.0176878 *
idESP 0.288284 0.305168 0.9447 0.3454148
idFIN -0.370375 0.433858 -0.8537 0.3938100
idFRA 0.999549 0.408883 2.4446 0.0149461 *
idGBR 0.968538 0.403235 2.4019 0.0167788 *
idIND 0.453505 1.333737 0.3400 0.7340213
idISR -0.827485 0.379879 -2.1783 0.0299860 *
idITA 0.630150 0.380023 1.6582 0.0980875 .
idJPN -0.690623 0.629075 -1.0978 0.2729559
idKOR -2.263375 0.567847 -3.9859 8.032e-05 ***
idNLD 0.145759 0.110855 1.3149 0.1893302
idNOR -1.952970 0.553319 -3.5296 0.0004662 ***
idRUS -1.150012 0.645419 -1.7818 0.0755625 .
idSGP -1.373527 0.519923 -2.6418 0.0085804 **
idSWE -1.411863 0.338471 -4.1713 3.740e-05 ***
idTWN 0.534210 0.111407 4.7951 2.321e-06 ***
idUSA 1.715975 0.896886 1.9133 0.0564506 .
time2001 -1.437139 5.337827 -0.2692 0.7878907
time2002 -1.507827 5.337563 -0.2825 0.7777158
time2003 -1.366450 5.339461 -0.2559 0.7981518
time2004 -1.288359 5.339723 -0.2413 0.8094670
time2005 -1.204091 5.340194 -0.2255 0.8217269
time2006 -1.165170 5.341657 -0.2181 0.8274433
time2007 -1.028786 5.344340 -0.1925 0.8474513
time2008 -0.980438 5.347222 -0.1834 0.8546155
time2009 -0.912380 5.348446 -0.1706 0.8646368
time2010 -0.930839 5.350534 -0.1740 0.8619788
time2011 -0.909573 5.352413 -0.1699 0.8651482
time2012 -1.043716 5.354770 -0.1949 0.8455628
time2013 -1.139327 5.356847 -0.2127 0.8316834
time2014 -1.151405 5.359280 -0.2148 0.8300024
time2015 -1.224576 5.361684 -0.2284 0.8194603
time2016 -1.126342 5.364110 -0.2100 0.8337955
time2017 -1.062742 5.365814 -0.1981 0.8431035
time2018 -1.145365 5.367806 -0.2134 0.8311452
time2019 -1.221240 5.369568 -0.2274 0.8202036
iis41 -0.696272 0.146324 -4.7584 2.757e-06 ***
iis43 -0.591336 0.145339 -4.0687 5.730e-05 ***
iis49 -0.479282 0.144965 -3.3062 0.0010338 **
iis57 -0.640329 0.145147 -4.4116 1.331e-05 ***
iis58 -0.604745 0.147388 -4.1031 4.971e-05 ***
iis62 0.566469 0.145939 3.8816 0.0001219 ***
iis63 0.558397 0.145672 3.8332 0.0001475 ***
iis71 0.371468 0.145527 2.5526 0.0110754 *
iis72 0.685802 0.145367 4.7177 3.334e-06 ***
iis74 -0.676149 0.145978 -4.6318 4.954e-06 ***
iis75 0.558668 0.146037 3.8255 0.0001520 ***
iis156 -0.434138 0.153016 -2.8372 0.0047897 **
iis173 -0.460419 0.188259 -2.4457 0.0149018 *
iis248 0.346326 0.152331 2.2735 0.0235411 *
iis374 -0.492132 0.143494 -3.4296 0.0006692 ***
iis382 0.443572 0.156350 2.8371 0.0047921 **
iis385 0.430255 0.157429 2.7330 0.0065629 **
iis400 -0.696958 0.175722 -3.9663 8.695e-05 ***
iis402 1.074538 0.173426 6.1959 1.480e-09 ***
iis403 0.720393 0.171268 4.2062 3.228e-05 ***
iis404 1.108634 0.171957 6.4472 3.390e-10 ***
iis407 0.346133 0.157163 2.2024 0.0282259 *
iis415 0.637920 0.152470 4.1839 3.547e-05 ***
iis417 0.559024 0.160927 3.4738 0.0005711 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.282428 0.085446 -3.3054 0.0010369 **
fesisBEL.2003 -0.262228 0.107035 -2.4499 0.0147298 *
fesisCAN.2004 -0.326774 0.091103 -3.5868 0.0003775 ***
fesisCHE.2003 -0.646102 0.171214 -3.7737 0.0001860 ***
fesisCHE.2004 0.425859 0.145849 2.9199 0.0037061 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.335943 0.089112 3.7699 0.0001887 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.219016 0.076531 2.8618 0.0044407 **
fesisISR.2005 -0.440541 0.157215 -2.8021 0.0053308 **
fesisISR.2006 0.804478 0.161635 4.9771 9.723e-07 ***
fesisISR.2009 -0.412258 0.095131 -4.3336 1.871e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.239979 0.089657 -2.6766 0.0077522 **
fesisSGP.2007 1.219710 0.153714 7.9349 2.281e-14 ***
tisAUT.2002 -0.452049 0.153794 -2.9393 0.0034860 **
tisAUT.2003 0.468145 0.156125 2.9985 0.0028877 **
tisESP.2003 0.241784 0.075981 3.1822 0.0015795 **
tisESP.2005 -0.261120 0.079472 -3.2857 0.0011098 **
tisSGP.2002 -0.063362 0.012691 -4.9926 9.016e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.9300 1 0.02639 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 3.2634 1 0.07084 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.13656
R-squared 0.99318
Log-lik.(n=475) 315.24130 Max Count Energy
0.01
Formula: max_count_energy~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:08:33 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.84108382 0.01453651 57.8601 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.01795479 0.00440808 4.0732 5.583e-05 ***
lpop -0.04090994 0.01540766 -2.6552 0.008240 **
idAUT -0.01015238 0.01295464 -0.7837 0.433683
idBEL -0.00479448 0.00967443 -0.4956 0.620458
idBRA 0.07242385 0.03203917 2.2605 0.024323 *
idCAN 0.01959065 0.00701096 2.7943 0.005449 **
idCHE -0.02463110 0.01438297 -1.7125 0.087568 .
idCHN 0.13236617 0.05770665 2.2938 0.022316 *
idDEU 0.07341074 0.02070620 3.5454 0.000438 ***
idDNK -0.05498323 0.02174911 -2.5281 0.011849 *
idESP 0.03766614 0.01242886 3.0305 0.002598 **
idFIN -0.02253290 0.01896581 -1.1881 0.235500
idFRA 0.05105628 0.01646200 3.1015 0.002061 **
idGBR 0.04902398 0.01625924 3.0151 0.002731 **
idIND 0.09472049 0.05522750 1.7151 0.087094 .
idISR -0.03508364 0.01553915 -2.2578 0.024494 *
idITA 0.04120576 0.01533585 2.6869 0.007510 **
idJPN 0.05883307 0.02788388 2.1099 0.035479 *
idKOR -0.04964123 0.02546620 -1.9493 0.051951 .
idNLD 0.00522787 0.00478527 1.0925 0.275268
idNOR -0.07378221 0.02475164 -2.9809 0.003048 **
idRUS 0.00620575 0.02500664 0.2482 0.804134
idSGP -0.03434920 0.02052672 -1.6734 0.095025 .
idSWE -0.05094858 0.01559355 -3.2673 0.001179 **
idTWN 0.01817673 0.00387277 4.6935 3.684e-06 ***
idUSA 0.12014343 0.03730817 3.2203 0.001384 **
time2001 0.18755640 0.22258143 0.8426 0.399927
time2002 0.18614417 0.22268044 0.8359 0.403691
time2003 0.18699460 0.22276011 0.8394 0.401717
time2004 0.19029174 0.22285111 0.8539 0.393668
time2005 0.19082305 0.22294507 0.8559 0.392550
time2006 0.19001287 0.22304707 0.8519 0.394777
time2007 0.19455620 0.22318057 0.8717 0.383866
time2008 0.19366435 0.22334899 0.8671 0.386406
time2009 0.19619111 0.22350781 0.8778 0.380584
time2010 0.19545650 0.22363135 0.8740 0.382631
time2011 0.19415612 0.22374809 0.8677 0.386049
time2012 0.18749054 0.22389249 0.8374 0.402855
time2013 0.18726820 0.22396706 0.8361 0.403569
time2014 0.18889877 0.22406477 0.8431 0.399697
time2015 0.18573371 0.22414576 0.8286 0.407804
time2016 0.18958027 0.22424151 0.8454 0.398372
time2017 0.19269726 0.22432523 0.8590 0.390845
time2018 0.19136713 0.22440977 0.8528 0.394299
time2019 0.18547624 0.22449155 0.8262 0.409175
iis130 0.06325943 0.00880731 7.1826 3.316e-12 ***
iis131 0.05781718 0.00936920 6.1710 1.651e-09 ***
iis132 0.05468546 0.01021136 5.3554 1.436e-07 ***
iis146 -0.06292214 0.00866353 -7.2629 1.965e-12 ***
iis313 0.10707633 0.00844087 12.6855 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 0.25089427 0.00846635 29.6343 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 0.11844940 0.00935740 12.6584 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis316 -0.03917298 0.00965288 -4.0582 5.939e-05 ***
iis317 -0.06616102 0.00898639 -7.3624 1.022e-12 ***
iis323 -0.15872576 0.00951037 -16.6897 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 0.08094419 0.00845417 9.5745 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis333 0.07047373 0.00866371 8.1344 5.152e-15 ***
iis336 0.02721632 0.01023758 2.6585 0.008161 **
iis339 0.09614713 0.00885907 10.8530 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 0.02728703 0.00915230 2.9814 0.003043 **
iis465 0.02905789 0.00890263 3.2640 0.001192 **
iis470 -0.09155833 0.00852156 -10.7443 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 0.05358941 0.00520927 10.2873 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -0.04893903 0.00476964 -10.2605 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -0.10001133 0.01129353 -8.8556 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisCHN.2015 0.01271105 0.00204561 6.2138 1.288e-09 ***
tisJPN.2009 0.00431556 0.00078714 5.4826 7.398e-08 ***
tisKOR.2009 0.01278323 0.00145018 8.8149 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2005 0.02930674 0.00265376 11.0435 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2008 -0.03768366 0.00307116 -12.2702 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.0477 1 0.306
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 29.2888 1 6.236e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.00787
R-squared 0.99830
Log-lik.(n=475) 1662.98207 0.05
Formula: max_count_energy~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:08:27 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.6871e-01 1.6244e-02 53.4792 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.4342e-02 4.1660e-03 3.4425 0.0006374 ***
lpop -3.0144e-02 1.4496e-02 -2.0795 0.0382122 *
idAUT -5.5533e-03 1.2092e-02 -0.4593 0.6462903
idBEL -2.1535e-03 9.0202e-03 -0.2387 0.8114297
idBRA 5.2176e-02 3.0079e-02 1.7346 0.0835785 .
idCAN 1.4690e-02 6.6056e-03 2.2239 0.0267140 *
idCHE -1.7092e-02 1.3467e-02 -1.2692 0.2051166
idCHN 9.7153e-02 5.4169e-02 1.7935 0.0736485 .
idDEU 5.5235e-02 1.9691e-02 2.8050 0.0052782 **
idDNK -4.0024e-02 2.0444e-02 -1.9577 0.0509640 .
idESP 2.8272e-02 1.1716e-02 2.4132 0.0162635 *
idFIN -1.4506e-02 1.7726e-02 -0.8184 0.4136413
idFRA 3.8838e-02 1.5539e-02 2.4994 0.0128441 *
idGBR 3.7012e-02 1.5337e-02 2.4132 0.0162622 *
idIND 6.5556e-02 5.1724e-02 1.2674 0.2057506
idISR -2.5392e-02 1.4588e-02 -1.7406 0.0825246 .
idITA 3.0494e-02 1.4432e-02 2.1129 0.0352298 *
idJPN 4.3298e-02 2.6280e-02 1.6475 0.1002365
idKOR -3.7843e-02 2.3784e-02 -1.5911 0.1123789
idNLD 4.8857e-03 4.4522e-03 1.0974 0.2731428
idNOR -5.5226e-02 2.3329e-02 -2.3673 0.0183961 *
idRUS 9.0231e-05 2.3310e-02 0.0039 0.9969134
idSGP -2.3769e-02 1.9222e-02 -1.2366 0.2169823
idSWE -3.8626e-02 1.4715e-02 -2.6250 0.0089986 **
idTWN 1.4891e-02 3.6794e-03 4.0472 6.230e-05 ***
idUSA 9.3691e-02 3.5252e-02 2.6577 0.0081836 **
time2001 1.0763e-01 2.0779e-01 0.5180 0.6047693
time2002 1.0611e-01 2.0789e-01 0.5104 0.6100313
time2003 1.0570e-01 2.0797e-01 0.5082 0.6115643
time2004 1.1013e-01 2.0805e-01 0.5294 0.5968566
time2005 1.1044e-01 2.0815e-01 0.5306 0.5960141
time2006 1.0938e-01 2.0825e-01 0.5252 0.5997082
time2007 1.1296e-01 2.0837e-01 0.5421 0.5880530
time2008 1.1419e-01 2.0853e-01 0.5476 0.5842849
time2009 1.1513e-01 2.0868e-01 0.5517 0.5814618
time2010 1.1406e-01 2.0880e-01 0.5462 0.5852125
time2011 1.1250e-01 2.0892e-01 0.5385 0.5905257
time2012 1.0637e-01 2.0903e-01 0.5089 0.6111332
time2013 1.0611e-01 2.0910e-01 0.5075 0.6121015
time2014 1.0717e-01 2.0919e-01 0.5123 0.6087337
time2015 1.0558e-01 2.0926e-01 0.5045 0.6141728
time2016 1.0816e-01 2.0936e-01 0.5166 0.6057124
time2017 1.1215e-01 2.0944e-01 0.5355 0.5926327
time2018 1.0920e-01 2.0953e-01 0.5211 0.6025573
time2019 1.0402e-01 2.0961e-01 0.4963 0.6199821
iis130 3.3826e-02 8.1061e-03 4.1729 3.696e-05 ***
iis133 -8.3044e-02 1.0551e-02 -7.8706 3.376e-14 ***
iis146 -5.9093e-02 8.5828e-03 -6.8851 2.260e-11 ***
iis307 3.0738e-02 8.1815e-03 3.7570 0.0001977 ***
iis311 3.2320e-02 8.2312e-03 3.9266 0.0001015 ***
iis313 2.0436e-01 1.4403e-02 14.1884 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 3.2999e-01 1.2643e-02 26.1018 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 1.7561e-01 1.0827e-02 16.2198 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis318 6.2402e-02 9.0546e-03 6.8917 2.168e-11 ***
iis320 2.9433e-02 8.4007e-03 3.5037 0.0005110 ***
iis323 -1.8505e-01 1.0474e-02 -17.6671 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 8.0642e-02 7.8414e-03 10.2841 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis333 6.8731e-02 8.0610e-03 8.5264 3.179e-16 ***
iis336 2.4347e-02 9.5471e-03 2.5502 0.0111391 *
iis339 9.7648e-02 8.2317e-03 11.8625 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 2.1448e-02 8.7229e-03 2.4588 0.0143648 *
iis465 2.5455e-02 8.3588e-03 3.0453 0.0024793 **
iis470 -8.6303e-02 8.2726e-03 -10.4323 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 3.9455e-02 7.1250e-03 5.5376 5.579e-08 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -6.3726e-02 8.2789e-03 -7.6973 1.109e-13 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -4.4153e-02 8.6048e-03 -5.1312 4.510e-07 ***
fesisJPN.2009 -8.4979e-02 1.5242e-02 -5.5752 4.569e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2013 -3.5456e-02 1.1145e-02 -3.1814 0.0015805 **
fesisKOR.2014 -9.9646e-02 1.0476e-02 -9.5120 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisCHN.2015 2.7348e-02 2.0312e-03 13.4644 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2004 2.1809e-03 1.0284e-03 2.1208 0.0345578 *
tisJPN.2008 1.9546e-02 1.9674e-03 9.9351 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2009 1.1763e-02 1.3910e-03 8.4570 5.271e-16 ***
tisUSA.2005 2.9879e-02 2.5627e-03 11.6594 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2008 -4.1653e-02 3.4719e-03 -11.9970 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2014 6.5843e-03 2.6855e-03 2.4518 0.0146435 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.59588 1 0.4402
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 27.62352 1 1.474e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.00729
R-squared 0.99856
Log-lik.(n=475) 1701.81765 Solar
Count Solar
0.01
Formula: count_solar~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:04:33 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.0469e-01 1.8284e-02 44.0109 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.8087e-13 9.7117e-14 1.8624 0.0632762 .
pop -4.2794e-08 6.4883e-08 -0.6596 0.5099160
idAUT -3.8185e+00 7.3508e+00 -0.5195 0.6037203
idBEL -5.3871e+00 7.3389e+00 -0.7340 0.4633484
idBRA -1.1392e+00 1.3345e+01 -0.0854 0.9320180
idCAN 6.5567e-01 7.3348e+00 0.0894 0.9288154
idCHE -8.7961e-01 7.3474e+00 -0.1197 0.9047667
idCHN 6.4461e+01 8.2538e+01 0.7810 0.4352713
idDEU 5.6770e+01 1.1594e+01 4.8966 1.414e-06 ***
idDNK -7.8005e+00 7.4047e+00 -1.0535 0.2927646
idESP 1.9735e+00 7.4533e+00 0.2648 0.7913124
idFIN -7.3134e+00 7.3981e+00 -0.9886 0.3234718
idFRA 1.7390e+01 7.9001e+00 2.2012 0.0282867 *
idGBR 6.7812e+00 7.7763e+00 0.8720 0.3837138
idIND 3.3469e+01 7.5690e+01 0.4422 0.6585951
idISR 2.7981e-01 7.3514e+00 0.0381 0.9696572
idITA 5.8260e+00 7.6929e+00 0.7573 0.4492956
idJPN -1.5337e+01 4.6780e+01 -0.3279 0.7431855
idKOR -1.7717e+02 1.0483e+02 -1.6901 0.0917806 .
idNLD -9.0507e-02 7.3020e+00 -0.0124 0.9901168
idNOR -8.5274e+00 7.4249e+00 -1.1485 0.2514480
idRUS -1.5918e+01 1.0759e+01 -1.4795 0.1397797
idSGP -7.5788e+00 7.3993e+00 -1.0243 0.3063307
idSWE -6.9862e+00 7.3787e+00 -0.9468 0.3443019
idTWN 1.9839e+01 7.4455e+00 2.6646 0.0080178 **
idUSA 5.8553e+01 2.1251e+01 2.7553 0.0061293 **
time2001 2.5764e+00 6.9413e+00 0.3712 0.7107093
time2002 8.4716e-03 6.9110e+00 0.0012 0.9990226
time2003 5.2545e+00 6.9010e+00 0.7614 0.4468585
time2004 7.7301e+00 6.8918e+00 1.1216 0.2626849
time2005 9.5420e+00 6.8754e+00 1.3879 0.1659492
time2006 1.2511e+01 6.8927e+00 1.8151 0.0702544 .
time2007 1.5670e+01 6.9309e+00 2.2609 0.0243009 *
time2008 2.5979e+01 7.0991e+00 3.6595 0.0002863 ***
time2009 3.3692e+01 7.1497e+00 4.7123 3.377e-06 ***
time2010 1.7555e+01 7.3262e+00 2.3961 0.0170243 *
time2011 2.0752e+01 7.2640e+00 2.8569 0.0044999 **
time2012 4.6862e+00 7.2703e+00 0.6446 0.5195763
time2013 3.8273e+00 7.1555e+00 0.5349 0.5930354
time2014 -4.1481e+00 7.1213e+00 -0.5825 0.5605669
time2015 9.9036e+00 7.0700e+00 1.4008 0.1620442
time2016 7.3964e+00 7.1236e+00 1.0383 0.2997540
time2017 3.5043e+00 7.1834e+00 0.4878 0.6259388
time2018 1.5127e+01 7.1295e+00 2.1217 0.0344733 *
time2019 -2.3728e+00 7.2314e+00 -0.3281 0.7429833
iis131 1.1015e+02 2.6579e+01 4.1444 4.155e-05 ***
iis133 -3.1693e+02 2.7975e+01 -11.3290 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis312 1.7627e+02 2.7475e+01 6.4157 3.938e-10 ***
iis313 3.4084e+02 3.0345e+01 11.2324 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 3.7725e+02 3.3527e+01 11.2522 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis316 -1.4049e+02 3.0323e+01 -4.6333 4.867e-06 ***
iis321 -7.8699e+01 2.5376e+01 -3.1013 0.0020621 **
iis339 2.8097e+02 2.5623e+01 10.9654 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 2.1198e+02 2.6375e+01 8.0371 1.030e-14 ***
iis465 9.1692e+01 2.8077e+01 3.2658 0.0011850 **
fesisCHN.2015 1.2124e+02 2.3125e+01 5.2429 2.557e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.4532e+02 3.2322e+01 -4.4961 9.062e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2014 1.1780e+02 2.8877e+01 4.0794 5.444e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -1.2170e+02 3.2556e+01 -3.7380 0.0002123 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.4073e+02 2.8320e+01 4.9692 9.959e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.4691e+02 2.7400e+01 -5.3616 1.392e-07 ***
tisCHN.2008 8.3119e+00 2.6174e+00 3.1756 0.0016100 **
tisDEU.2007 1.0057e+02 1.0683e+01 9.4143 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2009 -1.4456e+02 1.8574e+01 -7.7825 6.043e-14 ***
tisDEU.2013 3.6251e+01 1.1405e+01 3.1785 0.0015948 **
tisJPN.2007 4.5225e+01 8.4764e+00 5.3354 1.593e-07 ***
tisJPN.2011 -5.8753e+01 1.1380e+01 -5.1628 3.830e-07 ***
tisKOR.2010 -3.4825e+01 6.5089e+00 -5.3504 1.475e-07 ***
tisKOR.2016 2.5359e+01 9.0126e+00 2.8137 0.0051370 **
tisUSA.2005 1.3162e+02 1.0802e+01 12.1845 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2007 -1.4227e+02 1.2194e+01 -11.6677 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 27.224 1 1.812e-07 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 61.127 1 5.329e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 22.48286
R-squared 0.99335
Log-lik.(n=475) -2116.55357 0.05
Formula: count_solar~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:04:44 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.5514e-01 1.7619e-02 42.8583 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 3.8243e-14 7.5795e-14 0.5046 0.6141483
pop 5.9281e-09 5.1576e-08 0.1149 0.9085518
idAUT -4.2366e+00 5.8728e+00 -0.7214 0.4710996
idBEL -6.1454e+00 5.8649e+00 -1.0478 0.2953691
idBRA -1.1333e+01 1.0655e+01 -1.0637 0.2881303
idCAN 1.3164e-01 5.8582e+00 0.0225 0.9820840
idCHE -3.3788e-01 5.8683e+00 -0.0576 0.9541147
idCHN 9.6109e+00 6.5653e+01 0.1464 0.8836885
idDEU 5.9362e+01 9.2959e+00 6.3858 4.829e-10 ***
idDNK -8.5929e+00 5.9194e+00 -1.4517 0.1473947
idESP 8.2747e-01 5.9516e+00 0.1390 0.8894960
idFIN -8.4522e+00 5.9164e+00 -1.4286 0.1539138
idFRA 1.8508e+01 6.3233e+00 2.9269 0.0036230 **
idGBR 6.0422e+00 6.2071e+00 0.9734 0.3309406
idIND -1.4415e+01 6.0280e+01 -0.2391 0.8111224
idISR 7.2186e-01 5.8712e+00 0.1229 0.9022105
idITA 5.0290e+00 6.1408e+00 0.8190 0.4133065
idJPN 6.4723e+01 3.6978e+01 1.7503 0.0808438 .
idKOR -2.4079e+01 8.2317e+01 -0.2925 0.7700440
idNLD -1.9922e-01 5.8324e+00 -0.0342 0.9727683
idNOR -9.3056e+00 5.9359e+00 -1.5677 0.1177621
idRUS -1.2898e+01 8.5663e+00 -1.5057 0.1329590
idSGP -8.5816e+00 5.9162e+00 -1.4505 0.1477145
idSWE -7.4921e+00 5.8964e+00 -1.2706 0.2046209
idTWN 2.3698e+01 5.9987e+00 3.9506 9.245e-05 ***
idUSA 6.0163e+01 1.7126e+01 3.5129 0.0004949 ***
time2001 1.1389e+00 5.5408e+00 0.2056 0.8372472
time2002 -9.2397e-01 5.5181e+00 -0.1674 0.8671061
time2003 4.5337e+00 5.5109e+00 0.8227 0.4111942
time2004 7.6543e+00 5.5050e+00 1.3904 0.1651877
time2005 1.1823e+01 5.5442e+00 2.1326 0.0335807 *
time2006 1.3653e+01 5.5167e+00 2.4748 0.0137539 *
time2007 1.8879e+01 5.5686e+00 3.3903 0.0007691 ***
time2008 2.5044e+01 5.6768e+00 4.4117 1.327e-05 ***
time2009 3.5663e+01 5.7440e+00 6.2088 1.362e-09 ***
time2010 2.0697e+01 5.8401e+00 3.5440 0.0004417 ***
time2011 2.1923e+01 5.9437e+00 3.6884 0.0002576 ***
time2012 8.0312e+00 5.9210e+00 1.3564 0.1757534
time2013 8.2547e+00 5.8066e+00 1.4216 0.1559334
time2014 -1.0769e+00 5.6918e+00 -0.1892 0.8500274
time2015 7.6261e+00 5.7368e+00 1.3293 0.1845131
time2016 1.0264e+01 5.7308e+00 1.7910 0.0740664 .
time2017 1.1052e+01 5.7744e+00 1.9139 0.0563586 .
time2018 7.1871e+00 5.8647e+00 1.2255 0.2211285
time2019 2.7750e+00 5.8709e+00 0.4727 0.6367121
iis129 7.3618e+01 2.2506e+01 3.2710 0.0011665 **
iis130 1.4640e+02 2.3614e+01 6.1995 1.437e-09 ***
iis131 2.4473e+02 2.5012e+01 9.7846 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis132 2.0384e+02 2.6863e+01 7.5882 2.387e-13 ***
iis133 -1.6131e+02 2.8700e+01 -5.6206 3.618e-08 ***
iis145 -1.1309e+02 2.3929e+01 -4.7260 3.197e-06 ***
iis146 -1.4245e+02 2.2131e+01 -6.4369 3.566e-10 ***
iis312 3.1091e+02 5.2158e+01 5.9609 5.596e-09 ***
iis313 4.6004e+02 3.7747e+01 12.1874 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 4.9769e+02 3.0184e+01 16.4884 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 1.3960e+02 2.6810e+01 5.2068 3.109e-07 ***
iis316 -1.2191e+02 2.4517e+01 -4.9723 9.912e-07 ***
iis321 -9.4361e+01 2.1179e+01 -4.4555 1.094e-05 ***
iis322 -4.7793e+01 2.2655e+01 -2.1096 0.0355233 *
iis334 6.8239e+01 1.9723e+01 3.4598 0.0005999 ***
iis339 5.1230e+02 4.5587e+01 11.2380 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis342 -3.4006e+02 4.5208e+01 -7.5221 3.719e-13 ***
iis461 1.2033e+02 2.0576e+01 5.8480 1.050e-08 ***
iis464 2.6359e+02 2.0726e+01 12.7182 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis465 1.7835e+02 2.1119e+01 8.4453 5.976e-16 ***
iis466 1.3201e+02 2.1449e+01 6.1548 1.859e-09 ***
iis471 1.7226e+02 2.0407e+01 8.4412 6.153e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -1.6593e+02 8.2003e+01 -2.0235 0.0436997 *
fesisKOR.2016 -4.1472e+02 6.7718e+01 -6.1242 2.217e-09 ***
fesisUSA.2006 3.3760e+02 1.9589e+01 17.2340 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2018 1.8814e+02 2.4158e+01 7.7877 6.160e-14 ***
fesisUSA.2019 -1.3684e+02 2.6051e+01 -5.2528 2.463e-07 ***
tisCHN.2008 8.6763e+00 2.1477e+00 4.0398 6.439e-05 ***
tisDEU.2007 1.1230e+02 8.5050e+00 13.2037 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2009 -1.6005e+02 1.3010e+01 -12.3023 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2013 3.4254e+01 8.8046e+00 3.8904 0.0001175 ***
tisJPN.2007 6.7075e+01 1.9904e+01 3.3699 0.0008264 ***
tisJPN.2011 -8.1175e+01 2.0461e+01 -3.9673 8.644e-05 ***
tisKOR.2007 1.1132e+02 1.1769e+01 9.4581 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2009 -1.3648e+02 1.0869e+01 -12.5565 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2016 1.9830e+02 2.6488e+01 7.4865 4.715e-13 ***
tisUSA.2005 -3.0289e+01 1.8628e+00 -16.2599 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.48057 1 0.4882
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 21.07488 1 4.417e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 17.95757
R-squared 0.99588
Log-lik.(n=475) -2004.30135 Log Count Solar
0.01
Formula: log_count_solar~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:03:54 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.312381 0.038669 8.0784 7.254e-15 ***
lgdp 1.458843 0.160058 9.1145 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.352996 0.540665 -2.5025 0.0127178 *
idAUT 0.132821 0.465516 0.2853 0.7755415
idBEL 0.063618 0.354740 0.1793 0.8577598
idBRA -0.647412 1.181349 -0.5480 0.5839680
idCAN -0.185285 0.308754 -0.6001 0.5487642
idCHE -0.574242 0.507013 -1.1326 0.2580380
idCHN 1.114094 2.086113 0.5341 0.5935918
idDEU 1.795525 0.726772 2.4705 0.0138926 *
idDNK -3.530133 0.758225 -4.6558 4.354e-06 ***
idESP -0.146413 0.499238 -0.2933 0.7694602
idFIN -0.509943 0.671687 -0.7592 0.4481667
idFRA 1.129041 0.619312 1.8231 0.0690156 .
idGBR 1.057841 0.612349 1.7275 0.0848212 .
idIND -1.227427 2.032574 -0.6039 0.5462553
idISR -1.327227 0.540856 -2.4539 0.0145412 *
idITA 0.904339 0.583823 1.5490 0.1221469
idJPN -4.685705 1.007439 -4.6511 4.448e-06 ***
idKOR -8.263663 0.990297 -8.3446 1.077e-15 ***
idNLD 0.341156 0.210510 1.6206 0.1058615
idNOR -4.549262 0.858284 -5.3004 1.883e-07 ***
idRUS -4.785925 1.000190 -4.7850 2.383e-06 ***
idSGP -1.204547 0.719477 -1.6742 0.0948470 .
idSWE -3.665945 0.546676 -6.7059 6.583e-11 ***
idTWN 0.224732 0.234590 0.9580 0.3386332
idUSA 1.497047 1.345387 1.1127 0.2664717
time2001 -15.640565 8.189435 -1.9098 0.0568438 .
time2002 -15.601465 8.190948 -1.9047 0.0575092 .
time2003 -15.447646 8.193064 -1.8855 0.0600685 .
time2004 -15.411509 8.194928 -1.8806 0.0607260 .
time2005 -15.262780 8.196822 -1.8620 0.0633063 .
time2006 -15.150008 8.202301 -1.8470 0.0654542 .
time2007 -14.884802 8.203517 -1.8144 0.0703334 .
time2008 -14.660524 8.205063 -1.7868 0.0747070 .
time2009 -14.462412 8.206258 -1.7624 0.0787457 .
time2010 -14.543607 8.208123 -1.7719 0.0771540 .
time2011 -14.632739 8.211668 -1.7819 0.0754911 .
time2012 -14.637647 8.215698 -1.7817 0.0755363 .
time2013 -14.948855 8.219530 -1.8187 0.0696796 .
time2014 -14.979992 8.225094 -1.8213 0.0692897 .
time2015 -15.085883 8.229158 -1.8332 0.0674872 .
time2016 -15.015996 8.234168 -1.8236 0.0689303 .
time2017 -15.117117 8.236882 -1.8353 0.0671790 .
time2018 -15.199086 8.240143 -1.8445 0.0658220 .
time2019 -15.348787 8.244768 -1.8616 0.0633623 .
iis67 -0.989649 0.318235 -3.1098 0.0020015 **
iis156 -1.154071 0.315031 -3.6634 0.0002812 ***
iis164 -1.090977 0.314603 -3.4678 0.0005797 ***
iis187 -1.149016 0.315454 -3.6424 0.0003044 ***
iis325 -1.054703 0.336171 -3.1374 0.0018264 **
iis363 -1.157198 0.315657 -3.6660 0.0002784 ***
iis382 1.411411 0.320317 4.4063 1.341e-05 ***
iis383 1.250861 0.321435 3.8915 0.0001161 ***
iis405 -1.747999 0.318919 -5.4810 7.363e-08 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.608838 0.179486 -3.3921 0.0007602 ***
fesisBRA.2014 0.795849 0.156252 5.0934 5.354e-07 ***
fesisESP.2003 1.283113 0.232685 5.5144 6.173e-08 ***
fesisRUS.2019 -0.909092 0.317121 -2.8667 0.0043594 **
fesisTWN.2006 0.794330 0.170100 4.6698 4.081e-06 ***
tisKOR.2003 0.047380 0.014920 3.1757 0.0016065 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.61145 1 0.43424
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 5.78380 1 0.01617 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.29943
R-squared 0.96885
Log-lik.(n=475) -70.70645 0.05
Formula: log_count_solar~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:04:25 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.300077 0.036297 8.2673 2.177e-15 ***
lgdp 1.173161 0.156693 7.4870 4.742e-13 ***
lpop -0.048298 0.517125 -0.0934 0.9256367
idAUT 1.068929 0.437656 2.4424 0.0150334 *
idBEL 0.581179 0.333853 1.7408 0.0825036 .
idBRA -2.936913 1.138916 -2.5787 0.0102832 *
idCAN -0.617354 0.299106 -2.0640 0.0396788 *
idCHE 0.549363 0.478221 1.1488 0.2513573
idCHN -3.413487 1.995750 -1.7104 0.0879912 .
idDEU 0.324139 0.688301 0.4709 0.6379566
idDNK -1.670999 0.731749 -2.2836 0.0229340 *
idESP -1.064127 0.475043 -2.2401 0.0256494 *
idFIN 0.546818 0.624260 0.8759 0.3815981
idFRA -0.136780 0.591570 -0.2312 0.8172685
idGBR -0.216741 0.586605 -0.3695 0.7119683
idIND -5.358510 1.938404 -2.7644 0.0059735 **
idISR -0.031720 0.511159 -0.0621 0.9505500
idITA -0.307335 0.560441 -0.5484 0.5837440
idJPN -5.236576 0.963806 -5.4332 9.766e-08 ***
idKOR -7.419446 0.960640 -7.7234 9.650e-14 ***
idNLD 0.508702 0.199810 2.5459 0.0112825 *
idNOR -2.393305 0.811943 -2.9476 0.0033948 **
idRUS -6.201417 0.955320 -6.4915 2.588e-10 ***
idSGP 0.267446 0.665743 0.4017 0.6881057
idSWE -2.268820 0.518555 -4.3753 1.559e-05 ***
idTWN -0.026531 0.224424 -0.1182 0.9059540
idUSA -1.187849 1.273362 -0.9328 0.3514774
time2001 -29.632738 7.759121 -3.8191 0.0001558 ***
time2002 -29.737945 7.758114 -3.8331 0.0001474 ***
time2003 -29.527811 7.761916 -3.8042 0.0001651 ***
time2004 -29.429163 7.760783 -3.7920 0.0001731 ***
time2005 -29.268394 7.763954 -3.7698 0.0001887 ***
time2006 -29.120503 7.765030 -3.7502 0.0002035 ***
time2007 -28.885137 7.766157 -3.7194 0.0002290 ***
time2008 -28.642088 7.767177 -3.6876 0.0002585 ***
time2009 -28.467644 7.767622 -3.6649 0.0002817 ***
time2010 -28.552158 7.769074 -3.6751 0.0002710 ***
time2011 -28.653308 7.772468 -3.6865 0.0002595 ***
time2012 -28.684578 7.777065 -3.6884 0.0002577 ***
time2013 -29.024496 7.780822 -3.7303 0.0002197 ***
time2014 -28.987881 7.787452 -3.7224 0.0002264 ***
time2015 -29.157009 7.792217 -3.7418 0.0002101 ***
time2016 -29.083868 7.797503 -3.7299 0.0002200 ***
time2017 -29.175213 7.800209 -3.7403 0.0002114 ***
time2018 -29.284485 7.804431 -3.7523 0.0002018 ***
time2019 -29.489255 7.808667 -3.7765 0.0001839 ***
iis3 0.618249 0.297036 2.0814 0.0380497 *
iis40 0.818312 0.265209 3.0855 0.0021768 **
iis67 -1.017077 0.267325 -3.8047 0.0001648 ***
iis81 -0.855569 0.264194 -3.2384 0.0013049 **
iis154 0.807300 0.315168 2.5615 0.0107976 *
iis157 1.290647 0.310505 4.1566 3.973e-05 ***
iis159 1.075031 0.281306 3.8216 0.0001543 ***
iis164 -2.732193 0.632360 -4.3206 1.977e-05 ***
iis187 -1.127493 0.264662 -4.2601 2.564e-05 ***
iis209 0.737704 0.274826 2.6843 0.0075790 **
iis249 0.894940 0.269646 3.3189 0.0009886 ***
iis325 -0.916725 0.282815 -3.2414 0.0012915 **
iis363 -1.000066 0.265893 -3.7612 0.0001951 ***
iis382 1.479713 0.272680 5.4265 1.011e-07 ***
iis383 1.306619 0.271214 4.8177 2.083e-06 ***
iis386 0.697487 0.266870 2.6136 0.0093067 **
iis398 1.521409 0.364201 4.1774 3.642e-05 ***
iis400 -0.702888 0.275337 -2.5528 0.0110653 *
iis402 0.890514 0.274641 3.2425 0.0012870 **
iis404 0.847385 0.271851 3.1171 0.0019618 **
iis405 -1.663663 0.271573 -6.1260 2.203e-09 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.576940 0.171365 -3.3667 0.0008363 ***
fesisAUT.2019 1.405917 0.350267 4.0138 7.165e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2005 -0.944209 0.196605 -4.8026 2.237e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.686274 0.168066 4.0833 5.388e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2004 -0.988199 0.273699 -3.6105 0.0003454 ***
fesisDNK.2012 1.420461 0.615019 2.3096 0.0214308 *
fesisESP.2003 1.184343 0.195915 6.0452 3.493e-09 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.474293 0.128146 3.7012 0.0002455 ***
fesisRUS.2018 -0.648005 0.268735 -2.4113 0.0163564 *
tisAUT.2015 -0.203736 0.052582 -3.8746 0.0001252 ***
tisBRA.2005 0.109760 0.015944 6.8842 2.332e-11 ***
tisDNK.2005 0.155429 0.044042 3.5291 0.0004667 ***
tisDNK.2013 -1.317452 0.367885 -3.5811 0.0003853 ***
tisDNK.2015 2.040980 0.609620 3.3480 0.0008933 ***
tisDNK.2016 -1.000853 0.372024 -2.6903 0.0074458 **
tisKOR.2003 0.059439 0.013065 4.5496 7.189e-06 ***
tisTWN.2005 0.259144 0.048091 5.3887 1.231e-07 ***
tisTWN.2009 -0.273718 0.062012 -4.4139 1.316e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.085983 1 0.7693
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 1.819486 1 0.1774
SE of regression 0.25091
R-squared 0.97939
Log-lik.(n=475) 25.26317 Ihs Count Solar
0.01
Formula: ihs_count_solar~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:07:58 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.238273 0.037450 6.3625 5.300e-10 ***
lgdp 1.800218 0.168397 10.6903 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.887766 0.632287 -1.4041 0.1610575
idAUT 0.938374 0.563596 1.6650 0.0966796 .
idBEL 0.668223 0.424694 1.5734 0.1163900
idBRA -2.599006 1.405347 -1.8494 0.0651222 .
idCAN -0.573978 0.356482 -1.6101 0.1081402
idCHE 0.100512 0.604313 0.1663 0.8679837
idCHN -1.971652 2.522537 -0.7816 0.4348910
idDEU 1.029173 0.861598 1.1945 0.2329738
idDNK -3.247654 0.868626 -3.7388 0.0002111 ***
idESP -0.728188 0.561125 -1.2977 0.1951084
idFIN 0.196750 0.812862 0.2420 0.8088654
idFRA 0.475364 0.729229 0.6519 0.5148477
idGBR 0.450332 0.717181 0.6279 0.5304060
idIND -4.708030 2.473606 -1.9033 0.0576989 .
idISR -0.820380 0.633802 -1.2944 0.1962611
idITA 0.318345 0.682611 0.4664 0.6412026
idJPN -7.374432 1.241389 -5.9405 6.062e-09 ***
idKOR -10.987921 1.112277 -9.8788 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.638235 0.232279 2.7477 0.0062655 **
idNOR -4.399337 0.974231 -4.5157 8.256e-06 ***
idRUS -7.323284 1.231584 -5.9462 5.868e-09 ***
idSGP -1.206106 0.961401 -1.2545 0.2103629
idSWE -3.816673 0.601477 -6.3455 5.862e-10 ***
idTWN 0.194654 0.246811 0.7887 0.4307569
idUSA -0.437310 1.629861 -0.2683 0.7885945
time2001 -32.226623 10.128015 -3.1819 0.0015741 **
time2002 -32.191880 10.131861 -3.1773 0.0015988 **
time2003 -32.036114 10.132329 -3.1618 0.0016844 **
time2004 -31.986353 10.134745 -3.1561 0.0017166 **
time2005 -31.829303 10.137014 -3.1399 0.0018120 **
time2006 -31.698882 10.142314 -3.1254 0.0019016 **
time2007 -31.420655 10.145613 -3.0970 0.0020891 **
time2008 -31.163321 10.147773 -3.0710 0.0022755 **
time2009 -30.922777 10.149184 -3.0468 0.0024619 **
time2010 -31.009653 10.151846 -3.0546 0.0024005 **
time2011 -31.103822 10.156155 -3.0626 0.0023388 **
time2012 -31.139319 10.161690 -3.0644 0.0023249 **
time2013 -31.479404 10.165967 -3.0965 0.0020921 **
time2014 -31.545308 10.172082 -3.1012 0.0020604 **
time2015 -31.669440 10.176680 -3.1120 0.0019882 **
time2016 -31.655273 10.181790 -3.1090 0.0020078 **
time2017 -31.725410 10.185580 -3.1147 0.0019701 **
time2018 -31.818056 10.189374 -3.1227 0.0019189 **
time2019 -31.986080 10.194555 -3.1376 0.0018262 **
iis67 -1.108390 0.331740 -3.3411 0.0009107 ***
iis156 -1.519066 0.328252 -4.6277 4.963e-06 ***
iis164 -1.167204 0.327806 -3.5607 0.0004132 ***
iis249 0.976152 0.334417 2.9190 0.0037050 **
iis325 -1.068254 0.350766 -3.0455 0.0024726 **
iis363 -1.600056 0.329453 -4.8567 1.700e-06 ***
iis382 1.544311 0.335181 4.6074 5.448e-06 ***
iis383 1.428748 0.334847 4.2669 2.463e-05 ***
iis405 -2.502711 0.343179 -7.2927 1.574e-12 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.757773 0.189725 -3.9941 7.695e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2014 1.104612 0.165565 6.6718 8.189e-11 ***
fesisESP.2003 1.464091 0.242386 6.0403 3.446e-09 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.720794 0.153065 4.7091 3.409e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2019 -0.989851 0.330817 -2.9921 0.0029372 **
fesisSGP.2003 1.517473 0.288695 5.2563 2.367e-07 ***
fesisTWN.2006 0.934533 0.176818 5.2853 2.042e-07 ***
tisKOR.2003 0.054186 0.015444 3.5086 0.0005002 ***
tisSGP.2002 -0.048821 0.018520 -2.6361 0.0087050 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.3284 1 0.2490840
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 11.0955 1 0.0008654 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.31196
R-squared 0.96993
Log-lik.(n=475) -88.67188 0.05
Formula: ihs_count_solar~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:08:45 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.174282 0.035040 4.9738 9.880e-07 ***
lgdp 0.981410 0.217231 4.5178 8.304e-06 ***
lpop 0.917754 0.660149 1.3902 0.1652581
idAUT 1.334475 0.491519 2.7150 0.0069236 **
idBEL 0.565321 0.365273 1.5477 0.1225176
idBRA -5.984110 1.404273 -4.2614 2.553e-05 ***
idCAN -1.338394 0.343853 -3.8923 0.0001168 ***
idCHE 1.045810 0.562070 1.8606 0.0635514 .
idCHN -7.181028 2.430084 -2.9551 0.0033169 **
idDEU -0.863686 0.843187 -1.0243 0.3063265
idDNK -0.927790 0.928318 -0.9994 0.3182087
idESP -1.849068 0.588923 -3.1397 0.0018204 **
idFIN 0.839816 0.718955 1.1681 0.2434809
idFRA -1.321125 0.727443 -1.8161 0.0701234 .
idGBR -1.440531 0.726842 -1.9819 0.0481952 *
idIND -9.524207 2.307302 -4.1279 4.485e-05 ***
idISR 0.555248 0.623122 0.8911 0.3734417
idITA -1.516069 0.694143 -2.1841 0.0295538 *
idJPN -5.752055 1.099209 -5.2329 2.738e-07 ***
idKOR -7.168175 1.213369 -5.9077 7.594e-09 ***
idNLD 0.295748 0.204961 1.4429 0.1498428
idNOR -1.296346 1.062797 -1.2197 0.2233008
idRUS -8.538079 1.128219 -7.5677 2.790e-13 ***
idSGP -0.137378 0.863077 -0.1592 0.8736159
idSWE -1.762705 0.679504 -2.5941 0.0098429 **
idTWN -0.604623 0.249189 -2.4264 0.0157060 *
idUSA -3.230427 1.527501 -2.1148 0.0350802 *
time2001 -39.468982 8.877732 -4.4458 1.144e-05 ***
time2002 -39.506051 8.880856 -4.4485 1.131e-05 ***
time2003 -39.247371 8.881701 -4.4189 1.289e-05 ***
time2004 -39.164752 8.879281 -4.4108 1.336e-05 ***
time2005 -38.958813 8.883097 -4.3857 1.491e-05 ***
time2006 -38.794790 8.884717 -4.3665 1.622e-05 ***
time2007 -38.538045 8.885390 -4.3372 1.842e-05 ***
time2008 -38.266715 8.887720 -4.3056 2.112e-05 ***
time2009 -38.039628 8.890783 -4.2785 2.372e-05 ***
time2010 -38.090042 8.893144 -4.2831 2.327e-05 ***
time2011 -38.177244 8.896981 -4.2910 2.248e-05 ***
time2012 -38.213991 8.902627 -4.2924 2.235e-05 ***
time2013 -38.538977 8.906743 -4.3269 1.926e-05 ***
time2014 -38.613469 8.913416 -4.3321 1.884e-05 ***
time2015 -38.731985 8.918266 -4.3430 1.796e-05 ***
time2016 -38.666527 8.923821 -4.3330 1.876e-05 ***
time2017 -38.764785 8.927274 -4.3423 1.802e-05 ***
time2018 -38.889544 8.930974 -4.3545 1.709e-05 ***
time2019 -39.214323 8.935506 -4.3886 1.472e-05 ***
iis40 0.869889 0.278154 3.1274 0.0018968 **
iis67 -1.120491 0.290508 -3.8570 0.0001344 ***
iis76 0.834768 0.295703 2.8230 0.0050028 **
iis81 -0.852300 0.277343 -3.0731 0.0022682 **
iis154 0.913744 0.330329 2.7662 0.0059433 **
iis157 1.388121 0.323776 4.2873 2.285e-05 ***
iis164 -1.179316 0.279616 -4.2176 3.076e-05 ***
iis173 -0.963091 0.336946 -2.8583 0.0044889 **
iis187 -1.191146 0.287121 -4.1486 4.113e-05 ***
iis209 0.842802 0.288383 2.9225 0.0036755 **
iis249 0.731537 0.288878 2.5323 0.0117240 *
iis325 -0.952724 0.296690 -3.2112 0.0014321 **
iis363 -1.574067 0.282792 -5.5662 4.867e-08 ***
iis398 1.147212 0.301584 3.8040 0.0001654 ***
iis402 0.746814 0.293288 2.5464 0.0112711 *
iis404 0.893210 0.288024 3.1012 0.0020685 **
iis405 -2.100986 0.286795 -7.3257 1.388e-12 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.899501 0.161932 -5.5548 5.169e-08 ***
fesisBRA.2005 -0.953763 0.233686 -4.0814 5.438e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2007 0.832833 0.220717 3.7733 0.0001863 ***
fesisBRA.2014 0.907189 0.169057 5.3662 1.386e-07 ***
fesisDNK.2004 -1.483605 0.319605 -4.6420 4.729e-06 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.616916 0.135538 4.5516 7.133e-06 ***
fesisIND.2002 0.641247 0.287960 2.2269 0.0265296 *
fesisNOR.2013 -0.535463 0.139752 -3.8315 0.0001485 ***
fesisNOR.2019 0.972439 0.290985 3.3419 0.0009129 ***
fesisRUS.2002 3.016518 0.426704 7.0693 7.284e-12 ***
fesisRUS.2006 0.866879 0.277752 3.1211 0.0019370 **
fesisSGP.2003 1.004450 0.220233 4.5608 6.842e-06 ***
tisAUT.2015 -0.256788 0.055241 -4.6485 4.590e-06 ***
tisAUT.2019 1.624680 0.367367 4.4225 1.269e-05 ***
tisCHN.2009 0.128839 0.026542 4.8541 1.756e-06 ***
tisDNK.2005 0.568598 0.101169 5.6203 3.647e-08 ***
tisDNK.2008 -0.592664 0.111134 -5.3329 1.645e-07 ***
tisESP.2003 0.259193 0.067437 3.8435 0.0001417 ***
tisESP.2007 -0.275390 0.078339 -3.5153 0.0004911 ***
tisKOR.2003 0.083450 0.014048 5.9404 6.325e-09 ***
tisRUS.2002 -0.700149 0.121975 -5.7401 1.910e-08 ***
tisRUS.2006 0.651627 0.123116 5.2928 2.020e-07 ***
tisTWN.2005 0.327101 0.050353 6.4962 2.529e-10 ***
tisTWN.2009 -0.339155 0.065024 -5.2158 2.984e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.4038 1 0.52513
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 3.3369 1 0.06774 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.26293
R-squared 0.97983
Log-lik.(n=475) 4.03584 Max Count Solar
0.01
Formula: max_count_solar~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:08:49 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.7991460 0.0173549 46.0473 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.0189736 0.0073738 2.5731 0.0104386 *
lpop -0.0374433 0.0252439 -1.4833 0.1387925
idAUT -0.0080600 0.0212565 -0.3792 0.7047579
idBEL -0.0027264 0.0158844 -0.1716 0.8638072
idBRA 0.0611391 0.0524666 1.1653 0.2445936
idCAN 0.0140183 0.0113569 1.2343 0.2177984
idCHE -0.0204754 0.0235520 -0.8694 0.3851658
idCHN 0.1147154 0.0943148 1.2163 0.2245870
idDEU 0.0741720 0.0332955 2.2277 0.0264567 *
idDNK -0.0598535 0.0358100 -1.6714 0.0954215 .
idESP 0.0354315 0.0203764 1.7388 0.0828306 .
idFIN -0.0185827 0.0310747 -0.5980 0.5501782
idFRA 0.0453185 0.0267226 1.6959 0.0906847 .
idGBR 0.0404666 0.0264403 1.5305 0.1266852
idIND 0.0742397 0.0903669 0.8215 0.4118306
idISR -0.0298526 0.0254321 -1.1738 0.2411667
idITA 0.0385525 0.0250954 1.5362 0.1252708
idJPN 0.0016992 0.0445633 0.0381 0.9696025
idKOR -0.0839416 0.0428435 -1.9593 0.0507764 .
idNLD 0.0062703 0.0079146 0.7922 0.4286901
idNOR -0.0723663 0.0406073 -1.7821 0.0754912 .
idRUS -0.0076031 0.0410874 -0.1850 0.8532850
idSGP -0.0301122 0.0335913 -0.8964 0.3705631
idSWE -0.0521032 0.0256663 -2.0300 0.0430158 *
idTWN 0.0243817 0.0064111 3.8031 0.0001652 ***
idUSA 0.0857060 0.0600667 1.4268 0.1544044
time2001 0.1014571 0.3649482 0.2780 0.7811529
time2002 0.1000030 0.3650978 0.2739 0.7842970
time2003 0.1032423 0.3652214 0.2827 0.7775652
time2004 0.1045965 0.3653665 0.2863 0.7748132
time2005 0.1055798 0.3655099 0.2889 0.7728411
time2006 0.1072934 0.3656674 0.2934 0.7693548
time2007 0.1100701 0.3658889 0.3008 0.7637010
time2008 0.1142591 0.3661662 0.3120 0.7551715
time2009 0.1204262 0.3664045 0.3287 0.7425770
time2010 0.1100366 0.3666194 0.3001 0.7642274
time2011 0.1115223 0.3667756 0.3041 0.7612391
time2012 0.1040444 0.3669614 0.2835 0.7769175
time2013 0.1031700 0.3671179 0.2810 0.7788350
time2014 0.0977482 0.3672781 0.2661 0.7902668
time2015 0.1067018 0.3674470 0.2904 0.7716708
time2016 0.1032764 0.3676254 0.2809 0.7789107
time2017 0.1030662 0.3677682 0.2802 0.7794324
time2018 0.1052055 0.3679051 0.2860 0.7750580
time2019 0.0979405 0.3680426 0.2661 0.7902902
iis130 0.0522271 0.0187391 2.7871 0.0055723 **
iis131 0.1144837 0.0189487 6.0418 3.491e-09 ***
iis132 0.0824370 0.0194930 4.2291 2.911e-05 ***
iis133 -0.1409012 0.0199725 -7.0548 7.662e-12 ***
iis312 0.1111929 0.0158268 7.0256 9.229e-12 ***
iis313 0.2100598 0.0175275 11.9846 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 0.2346339 0.0193497 12.1260 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis316 -0.0872872 0.0174866 -4.9917 8.951e-07 ***
iis321 -0.0508787 0.0146339 -3.4768 0.0005632 ***
iis340 -0.1564719 0.0159692 -9.7983 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 0.1345923 0.0152019 8.8536 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis465 0.0600573 0.0162419 3.6977 0.0002479 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.0618896 0.0142951 4.3294 1.892e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -0.0943098 0.0186441 -5.0584 6.453e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2014 0.0727757 0.0166607 4.3681 1.599e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -0.0796846 0.0187712 -4.2450 2.720e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -0.0647557 0.0190695 -3.3958 0.0007528 ***
fesisKOR.2016 0.2390779 0.0203125 11.7700 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -0.0907371 0.0158297 -5.7321 1.956e-08 ***
tisDEU.2007 0.0634378 0.0061781 10.2682 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2009 -0.0909005 0.0107092 -8.4881 4.149e-16 ***
tisDEU.2013 0.0228246 0.0065712 3.4734 0.0005700 ***
tisJPN.2007 0.0298372 0.0049566 6.0196 3.957e-09 ***
tisJPN.2011 -0.0378478 0.0066237 -5.7140 2.158e-08 ***
tisKOR.2007 0.0656230 0.0054586 12.0219 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2009 -0.0708921 0.0083370 -8.5033 3.711e-16 ***
tisKOR.2016 -0.0619719 0.0073679 -8.4110 7.261e-16 ***
tisUSA.2005 0.0832929 0.0062776 13.2683 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2007 -0.0900628 0.0070901 -12.7027 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 19.228 1 1.160e-05 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 61.024 1 5.662e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.01295
R-squared 0.99441
Log-lik.(n=475) 1428.08985 0.05
Formula: max_count_solar~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:08:34 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.7622310 0.0174607 43.6542 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.0081913 0.0079921 1.0249 0.3060287
lpop -0.0166933 0.0239252 -0.6977 0.4857592
idAUT -0.0056758 0.0184450 -0.3077 0.7584635
idBEL -0.0039449 0.0137225 -0.2875 0.7738963
idBRA 0.0236086 0.0486402 0.4854 0.6276829
idCAN 0.0063617 0.0104746 0.6073 0.5439751
idCHE -0.0095490 0.0210637 -0.4533 0.6505534
idCHN 0.0563423 0.0862736 0.6531 0.5140970
idDEU 0.0547141 0.0305711 1.7897 0.0742685 .
idDNK -0.0299014 0.0341452 -0.8757 0.3817228
idESP 0.0160221 0.0198144 0.8086 0.4192304
idFIN -0.0120930 0.0271392 -0.4456 0.6561374
idFRA 0.0272872 0.0248571 1.0978 0.2729820
idGBR 0.0204456 0.0248360 0.8232 0.4108813
idIND 0.0326487 0.0807520 0.4043 0.6862063
idISR -0.0132555 0.0233952 -0.5666 0.5713160
idITA 0.0191838 0.0236246 0.8120 0.4172681
idJPN 0.0334963 0.0402239 0.8327 0.4054955
idKOR -0.0294154 0.0440445 -0.6679 0.5046179
idNLD 0.0024285 0.0070028 0.3468 0.7289339
idNOR -0.0356350 0.0392402 -0.9081 0.3643697
idRUS -0.0058633 0.0354799 -0.1653 0.8688264
idSGP -0.0171458 0.0298314 -0.5748 0.5657843
idSWE -0.0258193 0.0254446 -1.0147 0.3108610
idTWN 0.0195786 0.0062411 3.1370 0.0018355 **
idUSA 0.0630051 0.0538869 1.1692 0.2430292
time2001 0.0531475 0.3167251 0.1678 0.8668247
time2002 0.0518538 0.3168494 0.1637 0.8700876
time2003 0.0552261 0.3169499 0.1742 0.8617651
time2004 0.0570100 0.3170616 0.1798 0.8573967
time2005 0.0594903 0.3171801 0.1876 0.8513187
time2006 0.0605282 0.3173012 0.1908 0.8488129
time2007 0.0636227 0.3174927 0.2004 0.8412786
time2008 0.0675229 0.3177244 0.2125 0.8318116
time2009 0.0738766 0.3179569 0.2323 0.8163891
time2010 0.0637548 0.3181186 0.2004 0.8412623
time2011 0.0657126 0.3182774 0.2065 0.8365361
time2012 0.0576453 0.3184402 0.1810 0.8564422
time2013 0.0574022 0.3185852 0.1802 0.8571056
time2014 0.0511658 0.3187177 0.1605 0.8725413
time2015 0.0561006 0.3188453 0.1759 0.8604246
time2016 0.0583708 0.3189893 0.1830 0.8549031
time2017 0.0588190 0.3191039 0.1843 0.8538535
time2018 0.0562534 0.3192316 0.1762 0.8602159
time2019 0.0534570 0.3193460 0.1674 0.8671454
iis129 0.0487633 0.0140893 3.4610 0.0005974 ***
iis130 0.0939784 0.0148437 6.3312 6.666e-10 ***
iis131 0.1556076 0.0158009 9.8480 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis132 0.1298689 0.0170375 7.6225 1.894e-13 ***
iis133 -0.0985369 0.0182755 -5.3917 1.208e-07 ***
iis145 -0.0724073 0.0149045 -4.8581 1.717e-06 ***
iis146 -0.0897491 0.0137782 -6.5138 2.250e-10 ***
iis312 0.2006378 0.0323814 6.1961 1.466e-09 ***
iis313 0.2923755 0.0235096 12.4364 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 0.3144685 0.0187917 16.7345 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 0.0866150 0.0166778 5.1934 3.325e-07 ***
iis316 -0.0780461 0.0152603 -5.1143 4.936e-07 ***
iis321 -0.0595245 0.0131801 -4.5162 8.341e-06 ***
iis322 -0.0300009 0.0140998 -2.1278 0.0339810 *
iis339 0.3225347 0.0283740 11.3673 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis461 0.0752457 0.0128052 5.8762 8.979e-09 ***
iis464 0.1650868 0.0129008 12.7967 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis465 0.1108519 0.0131445 8.4333 6.515e-16 ***
iis466 0.0818752 0.0133493 6.1333 2.104e-09 ***
iis471 0.1093549 0.0127018 8.6094 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -0.1107569 0.0509250 -2.1749 0.0302347 *
fesisKOR.2012 -0.0659454 0.0164580 -4.0069 7.364e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2016 -0.2758156 0.0422103 -6.5343 1.990e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2006 0.2094353 0.0121847 17.1884 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2018 0.1202252 0.0150298 7.9991 1.427e-14 ***
fesisUSA.2019 -0.0857566 0.0162164 -5.2883 2.057e-07 ***
tisCHN.2008 0.0043799 0.0016361 2.6770 0.0077410 **
tisDEU.2007 0.0695408 0.0052995 13.1220 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2009 -0.0997530 0.0081022 -12.3118 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2013 0.0220010 0.0054863 4.0102 7.266e-05 ***
tisJPN.2007 0.0424601 0.0123536 3.4371 0.0006510 ***
tisJPN.2011 -0.0506837 0.0127120 -3.9871 7.980e-05 ***
tisKOR.2007 0.0696182 0.0048206 14.4419 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2009 -0.0727432 0.0072246 -10.0688 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2016 0.1134580 0.0167649 6.7676 4.789e-11 ***
tisKOR.2019 -0.2141513 0.0281350 -7.6116 2.039e-13 ***
tisUSA.2005 -0.0190900 0.0011585 -16.4788 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.48849 1 0.4846
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 21.49318 1 3.551e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.01118
R-squared 0.99592
Log-lik.(n=475) 1502.05705 Wind
Count Wind
0.01
Formula: count_wind~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:05:08 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.7071e-01 2.3858e-02 32.3037 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 5.6835e-16 7.6914e-15 0.0739 0.9411311
pop 6.0162e-08 2.1343e-08 2.8188 0.0050587 **
idAUT 1.0722e+00 2.8869e+00 0.3714 0.7105428
idBEL 1.2364e-01 2.8820e+00 0.0429 0.9658012
idBRA -1.1779e+01 4.7071e+00 -2.5023 0.0127330 *
idCAN 1.5612e+00 2.8909e+00 0.5401 0.5894555
idCHE 3.9846e-01 2.8878e+00 0.1380 0.8903253
idCHN -6.2739e+01 2.8147e+01 -2.2290 0.0263671 *
idDEU 1.9540e+01 5.1927e+00 3.7629 0.0001929 ***
idDNK 8.5335e+00 4.4709e+00 1.9087 0.0570135 .
idESP 7.3944e+00 3.0078e+00 2.4584 0.0143764 *
idFIN 2.8589e-02 2.8938e+00 0.0099 0.9921226
idFRA 1.1965e+00 3.0194e+00 0.3963 0.6921146
idGBR 9.7183e+00 3.1410e+00 3.0940 0.0021123 **
idIND -7.0685e+01 2.6066e+01 -2.7118 0.0069789 **
idISR 1.2754e-01 2.8883e+00 0.0442 0.9647988
idITA 2.4928e-01 2.9788e+00 0.0837 0.9333493
idJPN 9.5991e+00 5.3918e+00 1.7803 0.0757759 .
idKOR 6.2113e+00 1.1140e+01 0.5576 0.5774578
idNLD 3.9125e+00 2.8923e+00 1.3527 0.1768983
idNOR 1.8542e+00 2.8962e+00 0.6402 0.5224112
idRUS -7.8308e+00 3.9081e+00 -2.0037 0.0457694 *
idSGP 1.3703e+00 2.8968e+00 0.4730 0.6364486
idSWE 6.7002e-01 2.8858e+00 0.2322 0.8165157
idTWN 1.2053e+00 2.8736e+00 0.4194 0.6751173
idUSA 7.3552e+00 7.2057e+00 1.0208 0.3079822
time2001 -1.1392e+00 2.7030e+00 -0.4215 0.6736483
time2002 -2.5633e+00 2.6983e+00 -0.9500 0.3426918
time2003 -1.5826e+00 2.6989e+00 -0.5864 0.5579423
time2004 -2.0819e+00 2.6984e+00 -0.7716 0.4408284
time2005 -1.4976e+00 2.7003e+00 -0.5546 0.5794703
time2006 2.6281e+00 2.7084e+00 0.9704 0.3324506
time2007 2.5719e+00 2.7479e+00 0.9360 0.3498584
time2008 6.9617e+00 2.7704e+00 2.5129 0.0123636 *
time2009 9.5554e+00 2.7547e+00 3.4688 0.0005793 ***
time2010 3.9092e+00 2.8394e+00 1.3768 0.1693427
time2011 5.5055e+00 2.8210e+00 1.9516 0.0516761 .
time2012 -8.1581e-01 2.8181e+00 -0.2895 0.7723574
time2013 -3.1978e+00 2.8032e+00 -1.1407 0.2546558
time2014 -3.7902e-01 2.7577e+00 -0.1374 0.8907509
time2015 -1.7208e+00 2.7615e+00 -0.6232 0.5335312
time2016 1.8096e-01 2.7869e+00 0.0649 0.9482582
time2017 1.6915e+00 2.7890e+00 0.6065 0.5445330
time2018 -3.9569e+00 2.8039e+00 -1.4112 0.1589531
time2019 -6.9125e-01 2.8122e+00 -0.2458 0.8059621
iis141 3.2060e+01 1.0460e+01 3.0651 0.0023226 **
iis143 5.4908e+01 1.7311e+01 3.1718 0.0016308 **
iis146 -5.2133e+01 1.2749e+01 -4.0890 5.231e-05 ***
iis149 4.5037e+01 1.0107e+01 4.4561 1.083e-05 ***
iis152 -8.5949e+01 1.3077e+01 -6.5727 1.532e-10 ***
iis159 4.4457e+01 9.7845e+00 4.5437 7.316e-06 ***
iis160 5.5147e+01 9.9881e+00 5.5212 6.042e-08 ***
iis162 5.4431e+01 1.0945e+01 4.9731 9.768e-07 ***
iis170 6.1503e+01 1.0777e+01 5.7068 2.234e-08 ***
iis314 6.4492e+01 9.3099e+00 6.9272 1.706e-11 ***
iis463 1.0909e+02 9.5910e+00 11.3743 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 8.7235e+01 9.7000e+00 8.9933 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis465 1.5009e+02 9.8168e+00 15.2890 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis466 8.2414e+01 1.0476e+01 7.8668 3.380e-14 ***
iis469 9.9705e+01 1.0670e+01 9.3443 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis473 7.5997e+01 1.0121e+01 7.5092 3.863e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2006 3.3256e+01 6.6732e+00 4.9834 9.292e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2010 7.5943e+01 2.2421e+01 3.3871 0.0007759 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -9.5861e+01 1.0947e+01 -8.7572 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 3.8651e+01 1.1432e+01 3.3810 0.0007927 ***
tisDEU.2010 -2.8846e+01 6.8166e+00 -4.2316 2.875e-05 ***
tisDEU.2014 4.0246e+01 8.8139e+00 4.5663 6.606e-06 ***
tisDNK.2005 8.9969e+00 1.5149e+00 5.9389 6.204e-09 ***
tisDNK.2013 1.3525e+01 3.2845e+00 4.1177 4.644e-05 ***
tisDNK.2017 -4.4696e+01 5.8845e+00 -7.5957 2.159e-13 ***
tisUSA.2007 -4.6237e+00 1.2006e+00 -3.8510 0.0001368 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.23754 1 0.626
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 67.55761 1 2.22e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.85267
R-squared 0.98488
Log-lik.(n=475) -1673.83745 0.05
Formula: count_wind~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:05:11 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.0316e-01 1.6982e-02 41.4068 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 3.3420e-15 6.6844e-15 0.5000 0.6173735
pop 3.5339e-08 1.9409e-08 1.8207 0.0694089 .
idAUT 7.4064e-01 2.5200e+00 0.2939 0.7689830
idBEL -1.7315e-01 2.5153e+00 -0.0688 0.9451540
idBRA -7.8254e+00 4.2102e+00 -1.8586 0.0638204 .
idCAN 2.5538e+00 2.5212e+00 1.0129 0.3117206
idCHE -6.0553e-02 2.5210e+00 -0.0240 0.9808492
idCHN -3.3731e+01 2.5363e+01 -1.3299 0.1843033
idDEU 3.2307e+01 4.5666e+00 7.0747 6.864e-12 ***
idDNK 1.1946e+01 3.7261e+00 3.2061 0.0014550 **
idESP 6.8606e+00 3.1682e+00 2.1654 0.0309519 *
idFIN -5.9807e-01 2.5268e+00 -0.2367 0.8130171
idFRA 3.2801e+00 2.6440e+00 1.2406 0.2154898
idGBR 1.3732e+01 2.7120e+00 5.0635 6.326e-07 ***
idIND -4.0302e+01 2.3700e+01 -1.7005 0.0898262 .
idISR -3.6890e-01 2.5214e+00 -0.1463 0.8837532
idITA 1.8044e+00 2.6074e+00 0.6920 0.4893249
idJPN 1.3715e+01 5.0702e+00 2.7050 0.0071262 **
idKOR 5.0629e+00 9.7146e+00 0.5212 0.6025404
idNLD 4.6373e+00 2.5184e+00 1.8413 0.0663230 .
idNOR 1.5115e+00 2.5285e+00 0.5978 0.5503311
idRUS -5.1675e+00 3.4703e+00 -1.4891 0.1372696
idSGP 1.1033e+00 2.5287e+00 0.4363 0.6628505
idSWE 4.7142e-01 2.5185e+00 0.1872 0.8516171
idTWN 1.4902e+00 2.5069e+00 0.5944 0.5525566
idUSA 1.8749e+01 6.4531e+00 2.9054 0.0038740 **
time2001 -1.3682e+00 2.3589e+00 -0.5800 0.5622389
time2002 -2.5629e+00 2.3562e+00 -1.0878 0.2773657
time2003 -1.4874e+00 2.3571e+00 -0.6310 0.5283882
time2004 -1.8387e+00 2.3573e+00 -0.7800 0.4358625
time2005 5.5965e-02 2.3756e+00 0.0236 0.9812171
time2006 3.8256e+00 2.3592e+00 1.6216 0.1056962
time2007 3.1890e+00 2.4002e+00 1.3286 0.1847365
time2008 8.4784e+00 2.4110e+00 3.5166 0.0004879 ***
time2009 1.1502e+01 2.4092e+00 4.7742 2.545e-06 ***
time2010 5.6277e+00 2.4783e+00 2.2708 0.0236959 *
time2011 6.4482e+00 2.4727e+00 2.6078 0.0094575 **
time2012 -1.3309e+00 2.4835e+00 -0.5359 0.5923264
time2013 -5.1310e-01 2.4756e+00 -0.2073 0.8359096
time2014 1.8127e-01 2.4391e+00 0.0743 0.9407945
time2015 2.2877e-01 2.4222e+00 0.0944 0.9248029
time2016 1.7731e+00 2.4428e+00 0.7259 0.4683522
time2017 3.7092e+00 2.4444e+00 1.5175 0.1299525
time2018 -1.9383e+00 2.4938e+00 -0.7773 0.4374724
time2019 -3.6857e-01 2.4802e+00 -0.1486 0.8819404
iis138 -2.1458e+01 8.7207e+00 -2.4606 0.0142978 *
iis143 4.8418e+01 1.0817e+01 4.4762 9.956e-06 ***
iis146 -1.0889e+02 1.1028e+01 -9.8741 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis151 5.7956e+01 9.3644e+00 6.1889 1.518e-09 ***
iis159 4.5361e+01 8.4240e+00 5.3847 1.248e-07 ***
iis160 5.5598e+01 8.5889e+00 6.4733 2.847e-10 ***
iis162 5.2825e+01 9.4238e+00 5.6055 3.905e-08 ***
iis165 -2.0879e+01 9.0863e+00 -2.2979 0.0220906 *
iis168 2.8303e+01 9.4409e+00 2.9979 0.0028905 **
iis170 6.2621e+01 9.4195e+00 6.6480 9.899e-11 ***
iis314 6.0237e+01 8.1847e+00 7.3596 1.079e-12 ***
iis322 -2.5910e+01 9.1391e+00 -2.8351 0.0048172 **
iis463 1.0660e+02 8.2947e+00 12.8514 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 8.6703e+01 8.3734e+00 10.3546 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis465 1.4880e+02 8.5473e+00 17.4095 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis466 8.4178e+01 9.1679e+00 9.1818 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis469 7.7709e+01 8.4588e+00 9.1867 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis470 -2.8977e+01 8.6150e+00 -3.3635 0.0008448 ***
iis473 8.5653e+01 9.6733e+00 8.8546 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2010 8.5858e+01 1.2354e+01 6.9498 1.518e-11 ***
fesisDEU.2013 5.2328e+01 1.2766e+01 4.0989 5.041e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2016 9.1522e+01 1.1494e+01 7.9623 1.815e-14 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -8.8473e+01 1.0478e+01 -8.4434 5.937e-16 ***
fesisESP.2013 -5.2726e+01 9.2689e+00 -5.6885 2.498e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -3.6186e+01 7.9950e+00 -4.5261 7.964e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -1.6102e+01 6.2074e+00 -2.5940 0.0098394 **
tisCHN.2014 5.8756e+00 1.0229e+00 5.7439 1.849e-08 ***
tisDEU.2006 2.0108e+01 2.2759e+00 8.8354 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2009 -4.8231e+01 4.2306e+00 -11.4005 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDNK.2006 1.3188e+01 1.2884e+00 10.2356 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDNK.2017 -2.6543e+01 3.7657e+00 -7.0486 8.108e-12 ***
tisESP.2010 1.4897e+01 2.3828e+00 6.2521 1.051e-09 ***
tisESP.2013 -1.3758e+01 2.8219e+00 -4.8753 1.577e-06 ***
tisJPN.2009 3.3340e+00 8.4299e-01 3.9549 9.073e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.60088 1 0.4382
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 45.90077 1 1.244e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 7.72405
R-squared 0.98872
Log-lik.(n=475) -1605.05649 Log Count Wind
0.01
Formula: log_count_wind~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:03:26 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.407765 0.037984 10.7350 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.999592 0.196925 5.0760 5.841e-07 ***
lpop -2.809288 0.746776 -3.7619 0.0001930 ***
idAUT 0.598378 0.792582 0.7550 0.4506954
idBEL 0.050035 0.585415 0.0855 0.9319300
idBRA 5.407699 1.663518 3.2508 0.0012453 **
idCAN 2.233875 0.534116 4.1824 3.525e-05 ***
idCHE -1.374385 0.769661 -1.7857 0.0748810 .
idCHN 9.916709 2.951973 3.3593 0.0008539 ***
idDEU 5.666111 1.088389 5.2060 3.049e-07 ***
idDNK -2.297394 1.057920 -2.1716 0.0304533 *
idESP 4.022477 0.744624 5.4020 1.115e-07 ***
idFIN -1.658485 0.997790 -1.6622 0.0972399 .
idFRA 4.028575 0.926603 4.3477 1.735e-05 ***
idGBR 4.597672 0.922138 4.9859 9.096e-07 ***
idIND 8.258727 2.867482 2.8801 0.0041820 **
idISR -1.996624 0.806041 -2.4771 0.0136457 *
idITA 3.786576 0.875373 4.3257 1.909e-05 ***
idJPN 1.221946 1.433688 0.8523 0.3945360
idKOR -2.967957 1.280834 -2.3172 0.0209806 *
idNLD 1.314198 0.425633 3.0876 0.0021537 **
idNOR -4.037727 1.188293 -3.3979 0.0007449 ***
idRUS 1.893611 1.400816 1.3518 0.1771821
idSGP -2.724529 1.137754 -2.3947 0.0170808 *
idSWE -2.596916 0.773783 -3.3561 0.0008636 ***
idTWN 1.535711 0.413911 3.7102 0.0002354 ***
idUSA 7.499426 1.940295 3.8651 0.0001289 ***
time2001 19.340282 11.511956 1.6800 0.0937102 .
time2002 19.472304 11.515388 1.6910 0.0915948 .
time2003 19.410896 11.524605 1.6843 0.0928792 .
time2004 19.541924 11.526655 1.6954 0.0907593 .
time2005 19.729351 11.530487 1.7111 0.0878210 .
time2006 19.966091 11.537060 1.7306 0.0842692 .
time2007 20.059666 11.540155 1.7382 0.0829122 .
time2008 20.277597 11.547258 1.7561 0.0798206 .
time2009 20.447193 11.553258 1.7698 0.0774948 .
time2010 20.345332 11.558856 1.7602 0.0791224 .
time2011 20.358220 11.563663 1.7605 0.0790574 .
time2012 20.227738 11.566982 1.7487 0.0810775 .
time2013 20.023861 11.571855 1.7304 0.0843070 .
time2014 20.061307 11.576625 1.7329 0.0838572 .
time2015 19.854520 11.581145 1.7144 0.0872086 .
time2016 20.051012 11.586368 1.7306 0.0842756 .
time2017 20.123621 11.591057 1.7361 0.0832860 .
time2018 19.881245 11.595582 1.7146 0.0871773 .
time2019 19.922061 11.599266 1.7175 0.0866324 .
iis21 -1.657629 0.389834 -4.2521 2.621e-05 ***
iis44 -1.782922 0.386483 -4.6132 5.298e-06 ***
iis72 1.327532 0.384942 3.4487 0.0006213 ***
iis116 -1.558839 0.402247 -3.8753 0.0001238 ***
iis194 1.377774 0.386066 3.5688 0.0004008 ***
iis269 -1.222424 0.391349 -3.1236 0.0019123 **
iis382 1.086931 0.392489 2.7693 0.0058703 **
iis419 1.337165 0.387497 3.4508 0.0006166 ***
fesisAUS.2002 1.511781 0.433356 3.4885 0.0005379 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.937249 0.244506 -3.8332 0.0001462 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -1.004839 0.387249 -2.5948 0.0098011 **
fesisDNK.2006 0.693179 0.200614 3.4553 0.0006066 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.464452 0.248526 5.8926 7.900e-09 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.226129 0.224257 -5.4675 7.915e-08 ***
tisBEL.2017 0.492547 0.177244 2.7789 0.0057029 **
tisBEL.2019 -2.454481 0.633391 -3.8751 0.0001239 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.5281 1 0.21639
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.7614 1 0.09656 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.36671
R-squared 0.93877
Log-lik.(n=475) -166.48120 0.05
Formula: log_count_wind~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:04:38 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.260526 0.035989 7.2389 2.454e-12 ***
lgdp 1.216859 0.208445 5.8378 1.121e-08 ***
lpop -4.039672 0.820984 -4.9205 1.279e-06 ***
idAUT -1.139511 0.764527 -1.4905 0.1369132
idBEL -0.440674 0.594399 -0.7414 0.4589141
idBRA 8.074041 1.811543 4.4570 1.090e-05 ***
idCAN 2.926764 0.519141 5.6377 3.327e-08 ***
idCHE -2.330755 0.812321 -2.8693 0.0043400 **
idCHN 14.531107 3.316524 4.3814 1.520e-05 ***
idDEU 7.690452 1.164578 6.6036 1.327e-10 ***
idDNK -3.525697 1.130104 -3.1198 0.0019454 **
idESP 4.436331 0.746821 5.9403 6.343e-09 ***
idFIN -2.902661 1.087543 -2.6690 0.0079277 **
idFRA 5.513058 0.982074 5.6137 3.784e-08 ***
idGBR 6.188143 0.971959 6.3667 5.476e-10 ***
idIND 11.752273 3.157300 3.7223 0.0002267 ***
idISR -3.078938 0.864089 -3.5632 0.0004121 ***
idITA 4.295163 0.973167 4.4136 1.320e-05 ***
idJPN 3.117084 1.655761 1.8826 0.0605088 .
idKOR -3.117814 1.390642 -2.2420 0.0255275 *
idNLD 1.358583 0.378577 3.5887 0.0003751 ***
idNOR -6.009455 1.274428 -4.7154 3.372e-06 ***
idRUS 4.188467 1.611740 2.5987 0.0097147 **
idSGP -4.392141 1.244325 -3.5297 0.0004660 ***
idSWE -2.293419 0.823073 -2.7864 0.0055919 **
idTWN 1.805415 0.357614 5.0485 6.869e-07 ***
idUSA 10.729968 2.144996 5.0023 8.610e-07 ***
time2001 34.068195 13.024013 2.6158 0.0092502 **
time2002 34.184737 13.031734 2.6232 0.0090553 **
time2003 34.177043 13.039116 2.6211 0.0091096 **
time2004 34.305046 13.045243 2.6297 0.0088869 **
time2005 34.452122 13.050474 2.6399 0.0086281 **
time2006 34.825688 13.058757 2.6668 0.0079779 **
time2007 35.018482 13.058540 2.6817 0.0076395 **
time2008 35.215613 13.063611 2.6957 0.0073305 **
time2009 35.461989 13.069272 2.7134 0.0069575 **
time2010 35.402774 13.075926 2.7075 0.0070802 **
time2011 35.397567 13.081427 2.7059 0.0071124 **
time2012 35.277884 13.084757 2.6961 0.0073218 **
time2013 35.050778 13.090169 2.6776 0.0077299 **
time2014 35.042119 13.095443 2.6759 0.0077694 **
time2015 34.856909 13.098125 2.6612 0.0081101 **
time2016 34.984187 13.106056 2.6693 0.0079206 **
time2017 35.155177 13.109586 2.6816 0.0076399 **
time2018 34.849880 13.111753 2.6579 0.0081886 **
time2019 34.849404 13.112659 2.6577 0.0081938 **
iis17 -0.967227 0.343466 -2.8161 0.0051102 **
iis20 1.047633 0.325446 3.2191 0.0013946 **
iis21 -1.477460 0.327142 -4.5163 8.369e-06 ***
iis26 -1.005951 0.322828 -3.1161 0.0019696 **
iis44 -1.839173 0.323183 -5.6908 2.500e-08 ***
iis56 1.129880 0.323142 3.4965 0.0005260 ***
iis57 -0.788718 0.326571 -2.4151 0.0161915 *
iis72 1.377939 0.326991 4.2140 3.125e-05 ***
iis101 -1.122394 0.322925 -3.4757 0.0005672 ***
iis194 1.243478 0.323180 3.8476 0.0001395 ***
iis197 -0.909958 0.322993 -2.8173 0.0050917 **
iis269 -1.266907 0.331030 -3.8272 0.0001511 ***
iis272 0.657193 0.326624 2.0121 0.0449045 *
iis281 -0.977485 0.330366 -2.9588 0.0032782 **
iis437 -0.931843 0.369833 -2.5196 0.0121496 *
fesisAUS.2002 1.952205 0.389740 5.0090 8.334e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2008 -0.616673 0.174705 -3.5298 0.0004659 ***
fesisCHN.2002 -1.276594 0.384374 -3.3212 0.0009814 ***
fesisCHN.2004 1.300677 0.273238 4.7602 2.737e-06 ***
fesisIND.2005 1.161691 0.350831 3.3113 0.0010161 **
fesisIND.2006 -1.163369 0.384187 -3.0281 0.0026256 **
fesisIND.2008 1.005122 0.248706 4.0414 6.411e-05 ***
fesisITA.2002 0.902468 0.325317 2.7741 0.0058032 **
fesisJPN.2004 -0.686164 0.204141 -3.3612 0.0008532 ***
fesisKOR.2017 -0.691659 0.236837 -2.9204 0.0037005 **
fesisKOR.2019 0.888414 0.385263 2.3060 0.0216387 *
fesisRUS.2004 -0.878305 0.217650 -4.0354 6.571e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.750989 0.220939 7.9252 2.454e-14 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.300960 0.194121 -6.7018 7.292e-11 ***
fesisSWE.2010 -0.705242 0.309594 -2.2780 0.0232737 *
tisAUS.2002 -0.191498 0.040445 -4.7348 3.082e-06 ***
tisAUS.2010 0.237256 0.060298 3.9347 9.874e-05 ***
tisBRA.2014 0.148827 0.043904 3.3898 0.0007713 ***
tisDNK.2005 0.070696 0.014933 4.7342 3.090e-06 ***
tisESP.2003 0.624671 0.158916 3.9308 0.0001003 ***
tisESP.2005 -0.778331 0.208254 -3.7374 0.0002140 ***
tisESP.2010 0.600609 0.199923 3.0042 0.0028359 **
tisESP.2012 -0.530035 0.173833 -3.0491 0.0024530 **
tisISR.2017 -0.247151 0.101608 -2.4324 0.0154522 *
tisNOR.2018 0.521183 0.149837 3.4783 0.0005619 ***
tisSWE.2002 -0.703348 0.168760 -4.1677 3.798e-05 ***
tisSWE.2004 0.753000 0.182728 4.1209 4.619e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.7397 1 0.18718
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.7799 1 0.09545 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.30613
R-squared 0.96002
Log-lik.(n=475) -67.72300 Ihs Count Wind
0.01
Formula: ihs_count_wind~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:07:36 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.354757 0.037810 9.3826 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.857576 0.232904 3.6821 0.0002620 ***
lpop -2.639937 1.009072 -2.6162 0.0092173 **
idAUT 1.013752 1.050052 0.9654 0.3348941
idBEL 0.270884 0.771179 0.3513 0.7255730
idBRA 5.184125 2.281692 2.2721 0.0235968 *
idCAN 2.497261 0.677813 3.6843 0.0002599 ***
idCHE -1.150816 1.031705 -1.1155 0.2653060
idCHN 10.044814 4.136626 2.4283 0.0155975 *
idDEU 6.006047 1.466765 4.0948 5.086e-05 ***
idDNK -1.080393 1.383254 -0.7811 0.4352197
idESP 4.212630 0.950720 4.4310 1.203e-05 ***
idFIN -1.606332 1.385746 -1.1592 0.2470516
idFRA 4.218175 1.240008 3.4017 0.0007349 ***
idGBR 4.830830 1.222543 3.9515 9.135e-05 ***
idIND 7.740300 4.000440 1.9349 0.0536897 .
idISR -1.171460 1.169658 -1.0015 0.3171523
idITA 3.922802 1.160617 3.3799 0.0007940 ***
idJPN 2.178491 2.059380 1.0578 0.2907476
idKOR -1.792599 1.674946 -1.0702 0.2851353
idNLD 1.558219 0.505670 3.0815 0.0021976 **
idNOR -3.458789 1.543666 -2.2406 0.0255808 *
idRUS 2.289543 2.013224 1.1373 0.2560923
idSGP -2.806311 1.578588 -1.7777 0.0761831 .
idSWE -2.104926 0.959876 -2.1929 0.0288705 *
idTWN 1.695642 0.478633 3.5427 0.0004413 ***
idUSA 7.850272 2.711834 2.8948 0.0039950 **
time2001 20.476901 16.611983 1.2327 0.2184044
time2002 20.675589 16.617927 1.2442 0.2141413
time2003 20.606438 16.625369 1.2395 0.2158800
time2004 20.779474 16.632352 1.2493 0.2122481
time2005 21.022367 16.637215 1.2636 0.2070954
time2006 21.340165 16.645832 1.2820 0.2005574
time2007 21.457806 16.649800 1.2888 0.1981986
time2008 21.668905 16.655752 1.3010 0.1939885
time2009 21.867783 16.662786 1.3124 0.1901233
time2010 21.775546 16.670788 1.3062 0.1922082
time2011 21.802650 16.677557 1.3073 0.1918365
time2012 21.674157 16.681583 1.2993 0.1945704
time2013 21.438957 16.688361 1.2847 0.1996294
time2014 21.476305 16.695198 1.2864 0.1990324
time2015 21.222185 16.701230 1.2707 0.2045522
time2016 21.464750 16.708804 1.2846 0.1996392
time2017 21.565167 16.715222 1.2902 0.1977200
time2018 21.333380 16.721236 1.2758 0.2027343
time2019 21.323523 16.726543 1.2748 0.2030856
iis21 -2.047044 0.447271 -4.5767 6.257e-06 ***
iis44 -2.412648 0.441900 -5.4597 8.247e-08 ***
iis72 1.593687 0.441732 3.6078 0.0003466 ***
iis116 -2.153493 0.464443 -4.6367 4.756e-06 ***
iis194 1.681321 0.443201 3.7936 0.0001707 ***
iis269 -2.046226 0.464756 -4.4028 1.363e-05 ***
iis382 1.235004 0.450296 2.7426 0.0063598 **
iis419 1.619475 0.444592 3.6426 0.0003042 ***
fesisAUS.2002 1.951664 0.497122 3.9259 0.0001012 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -1.183959 0.285916 -4.1409 4.196e-05 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -1.269042 0.444082 -2.8577 0.0044834 **
fesisIND.2008 0.953055 0.234807 4.0589 5.899e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.880340 0.298250 6.3046 7.431e-10 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.471674 0.261922 -5.6187 3.542e-08 ***
tisBEL.2019 -1.177493 0.444492 -2.6491 0.0083808 **
tisISR.2003 -0.066260 0.023226 -2.8529 0.0045506 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.77400 1 0.09581 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.97726 1 0.32287
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.42057
R-squared 0.93347
Log-lik.(n=475) -231.57435 0.05
Formula: ihs_count_wind~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:07:57 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.237143 0.035883 6.6088 1.279e-10 ***
lgdp 1.165962 0.229227 5.0865 5.685e-07 ***
lpop -3.735005 0.977470 -3.8211 0.0001546 ***
idAUT -0.609591 0.944916 -0.6451 0.5192250
idBEL -0.033109 0.732107 -0.0452 0.9639516
idBRA 7.422473 2.190377 3.3887 0.0007741 ***
idCAN 3.194408 0.618009 5.1689 3.774e-07 ***
idCHE -1.569775 1.020180 -1.5387 0.1246849
idCHN 13.707675 4.045363 3.3885 0.0007746 ***
idDEU 7.813948 1.394194 5.6046 3.959e-08 ***
idDNK -2.640431 1.336557 -1.9755 0.0489125 *
idESP 5.473674 0.884898 6.1857 1.567e-09 ***
idFIN -2.806015 1.337904 -2.0973 0.0366101 *
idFRA 5.602288 1.177014 4.7597 2.738e-06 ***
idGBR 6.321638 1.155830 5.4694 8.098e-08 ***
idIND 10.708248 3.887512 2.7545 0.0061537 **
idISR -2.520416 1.045205 -2.4114 0.0163536 *
idITA 4.131847 1.162095 3.5555 0.0004237 ***
idJPN 3.446569 2.082297 1.6552 0.0986952 .
idKOR -2.669563 1.659601 -1.6086 0.1085245
idNLD 1.793721 0.450472 3.9819 8.160e-05 ***
idNOR -5.202567 1.487201 -3.4982 0.0005225 ***
idRUS 3.321730 1.972001 1.6844 0.0928974 .
idSGP -4.052056 1.526883 -2.6538 0.0082852 **
idSWE -1.866913 0.932217 -2.0027 0.0459074 *
idTWN 2.086902 0.412296 5.0617 6.425e-07 ***
idUSA 10.531403 2.623377 4.0144 7.150e-05 ***
time2001 30.405057 16.333428 1.8615 0.0634243 .
time2002 30.465838 16.340040 1.8645 0.0630059 .
time2003 30.547061 16.350619 1.8683 0.0624786 .
time2004 30.676171 16.355427 1.8756 0.0614596 .
time2005 30.926443 16.362276 1.8901 0.0594869 .
time2006 31.235472 16.371693 1.9079 0.0571408 .
time2007 31.475335 16.373477 1.9223 0.0552934 .
time2008 31.709083 16.379115 1.9359 0.0535985 .
time2009 31.968284 16.384866 1.9511 0.0517643 .
time2010 31.892859 16.392409 1.9456 0.0524243 .
time2011 31.909568 16.399400 1.9458 0.0524015 .
time2012 31.778917 16.403270 1.9374 0.0534258 .
time2013 31.513101 16.410773 1.9203 0.0555548 .
time2014 31.503296 16.418759 1.9187 0.0557490 .
time2015 31.311813 16.423087 1.9066 0.0573125 .
time2016 31.389189 16.429167 1.9106 0.0567939 .
time2017 31.527111 16.435085 1.9183 0.0558071 .
time2018 31.228078 16.439422 1.8996 0.0582270 .
time2019 31.253797 16.442575 1.9008 0.0580691 .
iis17 -1.100991 0.399145 -2.7584 0.0060832 **
iis20 1.188038 0.377997 3.1430 0.0018006 **
iis21 -1.877128 0.381066 -4.9260 1.244e-06 ***
iis26 -1.194719 0.375306 -3.1833 0.0015731 **
iis44 -2.297458 0.376303 -6.1053 2.485e-09 ***
iis57 -2.541323 0.615376 -4.1297 4.448e-05 ***
iis63 0.813636 0.393933 2.0654 0.0395454 *
iis72 1.077568 0.409354 2.6324 0.0088170 **
iis194 1.377342 0.379109 3.6331 0.0003176 ***
iis197 -1.183082 0.377812 -3.1314 0.0018712 **
iis269 -1.670857 0.385536 -4.3339 1.868e-05 ***
iis272 0.826183 0.380531 2.1711 0.0305253 *
iis281 -2.110087 0.575400 -3.6672 0.0002794 ***
iis382 1.347198 0.384310 3.5055 0.0005089 ***
iis395 -1.053999 0.375660 -2.8057 0.0052725 **
iis437 -1.018974 0.378054 -2.6953 0.0073374 **
fesisAUS.2002 2.504158 0.452736 5.5312 5.849e-08 ***
fesisBRA.2008 -0.500282 0.210174 -2.3803 0.0177784 *
fesisBRA.2015 0.860175 0.236861 3.6316 0.0003194 ***
fesisCHE.2007 2.552528 0.621415 4.1076 4.876e-05 ***
fesisCHN.2002 -1.596614 0.446632 -3.5748 0.0003946 ***
fesisCHN.2004 1.799697 0.314176 5.7283 2.033e-08 ***
fesisFIN.2004 0.529285 0.235053 2.2518 0.0248939 *
fesisIND.2005 0.649081 0.282226 2.2999 0.0219847 *
fesisIND.2008 0.764273 0.251005 3.0449 0.0024863 **
fesisISR.2015 1.251144 0.611987 2.0444 0.0415873 *
fesisITA.2002 1.152253 0.378163 3.0470 0.0024692 **
fesisSGP.2007 2.154254 0.258785 8.3245 1.455e-15 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.506269 0.228144 -6.6023 1.330e-10 ***
fesisSWE.2003 -1.235568 0.280893 -4.3987 1.408e-05 ***
tisAUS.2002 -0.225577 0.047099 -4.7894 2.382e-06 ***
tisAUS.2010 0.271696 0.070136 3.8738 0.0001257 ***
tisBEL.2017 0.567857 0.172580 3.2904 0.0010918 **
tisCHE.2005 -0.821486 0.176513 -4.6540 4.472e-06 ***
tisCHE.2009 0.910504 0.184037 4.9474 1.122e-06 ***
tisDNK.2005 0.073608 0.017230 4.2720 2.439e-05 ***
tisISR.2015 -0.467393 0.163380 -2.8608 0.0044541 **
tisJPN.2004 -0.495515 0.139168 -3.5606 0.0004159 ***
tisJPN.2006 0.519064 0.152215 3.4101 0.0007174 ***
tisNOR.2018 0.570970 0.174034 3.2808 0.0011286 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.074296 1 0.7851818
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 10.998439 1 0.0009119 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.35585
R-squared 0.95514
Log-lik.(n=475) -140.20047 Max Count Wind
0.01
Formula: max_count_wind~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:08:35 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.7186416 0.0178295 40.3063 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.0449869 0.0102886 4.3725 1.567e-05 ***
lpop -0.1141488 0.0395708 -2.8847 0.0041296 **
idAUT -0.0375287 0.0355144 -1.0567 0.2912760
idBEL -0.0179769 0.0266739 -0.6740 0.5007289
idBRA 0.2088119 0.0837245 2.4940 0.0130318 *
idCAN 0.0512947 0.0183039 2.8024 0.0053186 **
idCHE -0.0754162 0.0385515 -1.9562 0.0511302 .
idCHN 0.3688602 0.1525660 2.4177 0.0160636 *
idDEU 0.2017738 0.0542842 3.7170 0.0002303 ***
idDNK -0.1489924 0.0556366 -2.6780 0.0077118 **
idESP 0.1282504 0.0316298 4.0547 6.031e-05 ***
idFIN -0.0723622 0.0516442 -1.4012 0.1619375
idFRA 0.1228665 0.0424240 2.8962 0.0039845 **
idGBR 0.1522029 0.0420595 3.6188 0.0003339 ***
idIND 0.2902466 0.1479584 1.9617 0.0504916 .
idISR -0.1009863 0.0407994 -2.4752 0.0137289 *
idITA 0.1176517 0.0395775 2.9727 0.0031300 **
idJPN 0.0043435 0.0722479 0.0601 0.9520900
idKOR -0.1848206 0.0640839 -2.8840 0.0041377 **
idNLD 0.0188258 0.0132130 1.4248 0.1549964
idNOR -0.1958655 0.0625470 -3.1315 0.0018667 **
idRUS 0.0396622 0.0690167 0.5747 0.5658332
idSGP -0.0973995 0.0551316 -1.7667 0.0780438 .
idSWE -0.1357928 0.0386644 -3.5121 0.0004952 ***
idTWN 0.0329867 0.0096532 3.4172 0.0006974 ***
idUSA 0.2594629 0.0985490 2.6328 0.0087949 **
time2001 0.6655855 0.6096142 1.0918 0.2755703
time2002 0.6622917 0.6098859 1.0859 0.2781636
time2003 0.6647653 0.6101081 1.0896 0.2765499
time2004 0.6628572 0.6103754 1.0860 0.2781390
time2005 0.6636267 0.6106523 1.0868 0.2778000
time2006 0.6732972 0.6110016 1.1020 0.2711415
time2007 0.6729966 0.6113852 1.1008 0.2716556
time2008 0.6855495 0.6117811 1.1206 0.2631375
time2009 0.6955915 0.6121344 1.1363 0.2564938
time2010 0.6815558 0.6125124 1.1127 0.2664946
time2011 0.6847222 0.6128673 1.1172 0.2645590
time2012 0.6677150 0.6131703 1.0890 0.2768276
time2013 0.6628347 0.6133536 1.0807 0.2804921
time2014 0.6709478 0.6135812 1.0935 0.2748331
time2015 0.6674592 0.6138381 1.0874 0.2775336
time2016 0.6709492 0.6142298 1.0923 0.2753385
time2017 0.6784817 0.6144691 1.1042 0.2701792
time2018 0.6633443 0.6147176 1.0791 0.2811900
time2019 0.6696801 0.6148995 1.0891 0.2767688
iis141 0.0840744 0.0260990 3.2214 0.0013799 **
iis143 0.1152750 0.0424400 2.7162 0.0068896 **
iis146 -0.1222801 0.0316563 -3.8627 0.0001307 ***
iis149 0.1137417 0.0252007 4.5134 8.395e-06 ***
iis152 -0.2144111 0.0325933 -6.5784 1.488e-10 ***
iis159 0.1049426 0.0242702 4.3239 1.936e-05 ***
iis160 0.1345584 0.0247783 5.4305 9.760e-08 ***
iis162 0.1305968 0.0269355 4.8485 1.782e-06 ***
iis168 0.0971349 0.0262703 3.6975 0.0002480 ***
iis170 0.1680209 0.0268801 6.2508 1.046e-09 ***
iis314 0.1563226 0.0234231 6.6739 8.309e-11 ***
iis463 0.2827367 0.0239648 11.7980 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 0.2293884 0.0243087 9.4365 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis465 0.3873473 0.0247763 15.6338 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis466 0.2150438 0.0265062 8.1130 6.097e-15 ***
iis469 0.2829848 0.0319796 8.8489 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis473 0.2233887 0.0276554 8.0776 7.828e-15 ***
fesisDEU.2006 0.0900880 0.0166173 5.4213 1.024e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2010 0.2402707 0.0542484 4.4291 1.222e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -0.2321052 0.0271454 -8.5505 2.612e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -0.0508338 0.0131948 -3.8526 0.0001360 ***
fesisUSA.2013 -0.0758362 0.0249471 -3.0399 0.0025219 **
fesisUSA.2015 0.1016319 0.0279558 3.6354 0.0003136 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -0.0644831 0.0225873 -2.8548 0.0045294 **
tisDEU.2010 -0.0850507 0.0168048 -5.0611 6.363e-07 ***
tisDEU.2014 0.1141020 0.0218286 5.2272 2.775e-07 ***
tisDNK.2005 0.0301017 0.0031961 9.4184 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDNK.2017 -0.0580817 0.0101850 -5.7027 2.292e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.6773 1 0.1953
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 65.5792 1 5.551e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.02210
R-squared 0.98593
Log-lik.(n=475) 1173.83619 0.05
Formula: max_count_wind~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.05; AR: 1
Date: Wed Mar 6 11:08:26 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.6838058 0.0189038 36.1730 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.0253746 0.0110493 2.2965 0.0221730 *
lpop -0.0710186 0.0376537 -1.8861 0.0600190 .
idAUT -0.0272500 0.0325138 -0.8381 0.4024806
idBEL -0.0154762 0.0244160 -0.6339 0.5265454
idBRA 0.1300090 0.0786859 1.6523 0.0992816 .
idCAN 0.0359204 0.0170883 2.1020 0.0361850 *
idCHE -0.0501289 0.0356251 -1.4071 0.1601814
idCHN 0.2455400 0.1421825 1.7269 0.0849652 .
idDEU 0.1748247 0.0506849 3.4492 0.0006230 ***
idDNK -0.0720665 0.0531600 -1.3557 0.1759877
idESP 0.0814099 0.0305425 2.6655 0.0080052 **
idFIN -0.0517543 0.0473650 -1.0927 0.2752075
idFRA 0.0829581 0.0399404 2.0770 0.0384463 *
idGBR 0.1130988 0.0397293 2.8467 0.0046486 **
idIND 0.1942164 0.1367835 1.4199 0.1564347
idISR -0.0651305 0.0381804 -1.7059 0.0888235 .
idITA 0.0771014 0.0374858 2.0568 0.0403634 *
idJPN 0.0315672 0.0687707 0.4590 0.6464725
idKOR -0.0845257 0.0662346 -1.2762 0.2026536
idNLD 0.0146838 0.0122408 1.1996 0.2310248
idNOR -0.1193218 0.0602588 -1.9802 0.0483832 *
idRUS 0.0339756 0.0633101 0.5367 0.5918101
idSGP -0.0641441 0.0508494 -1.2615 0.2078937
idSWE -0.0820414 0.0379239 -2.1633 0.0311189 *
idTWN 0.0209275 0.0093911 2.2284 0.0264171 *
idUSA 0.1962145 0.0908381 2.1600 0.0313730 *
time2001 0.4857311 0.5587183 0.8694 0.3851772
time2002 0.4828614 0.5589604 0.8639 0.3881938
time2003 0.4856388 0.5591607 0.8685 0.3856431
time2004 0.4844104 0.5593991 0.8659 0.3870472
time2005 0.4890613 0.5596688 0.8738 0.3827388
time2006 0.4984257 0.5599381 0.8901 0.3739330
time2007 0.4963248 0.5602847 0.8858 0.3762433
time2008 0.5105831 0.5606515 0.9107 0.3630137
time2009 0.5204351 0.5609980 0.9277 0.3541351
time2010 0.5048782 0.5613172 0.8995 0.3689624
time2011 0.5071508 0.5616238 0.9030 0.3670747
time2012 0.4874420 0.5619040 0.8675 0.3862070
time2013 0.4893607 0.5621645 0.8705 0.3845620
time2014 0.4929383 0.5624216 0.8765 0.3813170
time2015 0.4888521 0.5626844 0.8688 0.3854947
time2016 0.4936395 0.5629382 0.8769 0.3810776
time2017 0.5016904 0.5632089 0.8908 0.3735968
time2018 0.4864242 0.5634583 0.8633 0.3885082
time2019 0.4898376 0.5636707 0.8690 0.3853700
iis138 -0.0547157 0.0222319 -2.4611 0.0142791 *
iis143 0.1108960 0.0350397 3.1649 0.0016724 **
iis146 -0.1445367 0.0281411 -5.1361 4.424e-07 ***
iis149 0.1345229 0.0240964 5.5827 4.423e-08 ***
iis151 0.0927769 0.0325189 2.8530 0.0045596 **
iis152 -0.1334031 0.0386000 -3.4560 0.0006080 ***
iis159 0.1153833 0.0214702 5.3741 1.322e-07 ***
iis160 0.1435055 0.0218810 6.5585 1.715e-10 ***
iis162 0.1376776 0.0240133 5.7334 1.965e-08 ***
iis165 -0.0511785 0.0231661 -2.2092 0.0277369 *
iis168 0.0690377 0.0241565 2.8579 0.0044909 **
iis170 0.1593436 0.0240192 6.6340 1.084e-10 ***
iis314 0.1558100 0.0208601 7.4693 5.266e-13 ***
iis322 -0.0678693 0.0232867 -2.9145 0.0037663 **
iis463 0.2821041 0.0213436 13.2172 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 0.2323811 0.0216630 10.7271 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis465 0.3911169 0.0219632 17.8078 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis466 0.2261736 0.0235933 9.5864 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis469 0.1906949 0.0221224 8.6200 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis470 -0.0887229 0.0227089 -3.9070 0.0001100 ***
iis473 0.2252519 0.0247579 9.0982 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2010 0.2446777 0.0510541 4.7925 2.339e-06 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -0.2349300 0.0268233 -8.7584 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisESP.2013 -0.1346441 0.0236508 -5.6930 2.446e-08 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -0.0967419 0.0204380 -4.7334 3.086e-06 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -0.0771025 0.0228988 -3.3671 0.0008346 ***
tisCHN.2014 0.0134361 0.0029772 4.5131 8.454e-06 ***
tisDEU.2006 0.0533946 0.0061304 8.7098 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2009 -0.1307286 0.0166636 -7.8451 4.130e-14 ***
tisDEU.2014 0.0897226 0.0195042 4.6002 5.703e-06 ***
tisDNK.2006 0.0357094 0.0033697 10.5972 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDNK.2017 -0.0712311 0.0096636 -7.3711 1.009e-12 ***
tisESP.2010 0.0405903 0.0061224 6.6298 1.113e-10 ***
tisESP.2013 -0.0388220 0.0072874 -5.3273 1.682e-07 ***
tisJPN.2009 0.0088218 0.0022113 3.9893 7.903e-05 ***
tisUSA.2007 0.0041526 0.0018921 2.1947 0.0287664 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.12624 1 0.7224
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 46.70435 1 8.255e-12 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.01968
R-squared 0.98906
Log-lik.(n=475) 1232.94827